The Prediction Markets

Grammy nominees: Best Rap Album

Closes
Nov 1, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$56K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Don't Be Dumb 95%

Next is OCTANE at 86%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Don't Be Dumb
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Don't Be Dumb
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
18¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
OCTANE
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
OCTANE
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Octane - Don Toliver
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Octane - Don Toliver
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bully - Ye
23.8%
Polymarket 23.8%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bully - Ye
Last price
23.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Polymarket
Bully
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bully
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dillagence II - Busta Rhymes & J Dilla
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dillagence II - Busta Rhymes & J Dilla
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$129
Trade this on Polymarket
ICEMAN
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
ICEMAN
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Fall-Off
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Fall-Off
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ca$ino - Baby Keem
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ca$ino - Baby Keem
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Cry Baby - Vince Staples
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cry Baby - Vince Staples
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceman - Drake
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceman - Drake
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
It's Been Awful - Isaiah Rashad
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
It's Been Awful - Isaiah Rashad
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
The Fall-Off - J. Cole
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Fall-Off - J. Cole
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: grammy.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Recording Academy

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Don't Be Dumb
  • OCTANE
  • Octane - Don Toliver

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Don't Be Dumb for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Grammy nominees: Best Rap Album". Don't Be Dumb leads at 95%. Next is OCTANE at 86%. $56K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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