The Prediction Markets

Grammy Winner: Best R&B Album

Closes
Dec 31, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$45K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Tie 97%

Next is Kehlani at 81%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Tie
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kehlani
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kehlani
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Kalshi
Do You Still Love Me?:: Ella Mai
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Do You Still Love Me?:: Ella Mai
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Here For It All
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Here For It All
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Saturday Night
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saturday Night
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
sounds for someone
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
sounds for someone
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
To Whom This May Concern
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
To Whom This May Concern
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vacancy
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vacancy
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
When The City Sleeps
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
When The City Sleeps
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
BROWN
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
BROWN
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Finally Over It
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Finally Over It
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Octane - Don Toliver
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Octane - Don Toliver
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bully - Ye
21.1%
Polymarket 21.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bully - Ye
Last price
21.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Polymarket
Dillagence II - Busta Rhymes & J Dilla
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dillagence II - Busta Rhymes & J Dilla
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$129
Trade this on Polymarket
Ca$ino - Baby Keem
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ca$ino - Baby Keem
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Polymarket
Cry Baby - Vince Staples
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cry Baby - Vince Staples
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
It's Been Awful - Isaiah Rashad
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
It's Been Awful - Isaiah Rashad
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceman - Drake
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceman - Drake
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Fall-Off - J. Cole
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Fall-Off - J. Cole
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: grammy.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Recording Academy

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tie
  • Kehlani
  • Do You Still Love Me?:: Ella Mai

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Tie for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Grammy Winner: Best R&B Album". Tie leads at 97%. Next is Kehlani at 81%. $45K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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