The Prediction Markets

Grand Theft Auto VI: Metacritic score

Closes
Nov 26, 2026, in 34 days
Traded
$39K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 10 99%

Next is Above 20 at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 10
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 20
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
93¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 30
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 40
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 40
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
93¢
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 24s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Above 85
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 95
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 99
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 99
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Metacritic

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 10
  • Above 20
  • Above 60

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Grand Theft Auto VI: Metacritic score". Above 10 leads at 99%. Next is Above 20 at 98%. $39K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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