The Prediction Markets

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales

Closes
Nov 29, 2026, in 37 days
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

25k+ 88%

Next is Above 60K at 87%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
25k+
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
25k+
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 60K
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60K
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 320K
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 320K
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
50k+
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
50k+
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 20K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 120K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 120K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 160K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 160K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 180K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 180K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 200K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 200K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 220K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 220K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 14 more outcomes
200k+
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
200k+
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Polymarket
100k+
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
100k+
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 380K
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 380K
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$228
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 40K
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 40K
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 400K
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 400K
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 280K
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 280K
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 260K
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 260K
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 300K
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 300K
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80K
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80K
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 140K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 140K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 340K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 340K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 240K
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 240K
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 360K
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 360K
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: hitsdailydouble.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 25k+
  • Above 60K
  • Above 320K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 25k+ for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales". 25k+ leads at 88%. Next is Above 60K at 87%. $21K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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