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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 92.5%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 77%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds92.5%92.5%90¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)O/U 0.5 Rounds92.5%Polymarket 92.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
92.5%
92.5%
90¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
95¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
92.5%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds77%77%74¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)O/U 1.5 Rounds77%Polymarket 77%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
77%
77%
74¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
80¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds66.5%66.5%66¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)O/U 2.5 Rounds66.5%Polymarket 66.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
66.5%
66.5%
66¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $5
Decision or Draw63%63%60¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed66¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Decision or Draw63%Polymarket 63%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Decision or Draw
63%
63%
60¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
66¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Decision or Draw
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $532
Fight to Go the Distance?62.5%62.5%61¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed64¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Fight to Go the Distance?62.5%Polymarket 62.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
62.5%
62.5%
61¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
64¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $83
Fight won by decision?61%61%56¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed66¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Fight won by decision?61%Polymarket 61%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Fight won by decision?
61%
61%
56¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
66¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Fight won by decision?
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest59%Not listed59%59¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 3 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Decision / Draw / No Contest59%Kalshi 59%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
59%
Not listed
59%
59¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $461
Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev50.5%50.5%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev
50.5%
50.5%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $57K
Ends before Round 3?27.5%27.5%25¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Ends before Round 3?27.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Ends before Round 3?
27.5%
27.5%
25¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Ends before Round 3?
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $10
Fight won by KO/TKO?21.5%21.5%18¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Fight won by KO/TKO?21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
21.5%
21.5%
18¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Fight won by submission?17.5%17.5%15¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Fight won by submission?17.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Fight won by submission?
17.5%
17.5%
15¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Fight won by submission?
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Aliev to win by KO/TKO?15%15%12¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Aliev to win by KO/TKO?15%Polymarket 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Aliev to win by KO/TKO?
15%
15%
12¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Aliev to win by KO/TKO?
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aliev to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Ends before Round 2?15%15%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Ends before Round 2?15%Polymarket 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Ends before Round 2?
15%
15%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Ends before Round 2?
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Aliev in Round 110%10%8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Aliev in Round 110%Polymarket 10%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Aliev in Round 1
10%
10%
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Aliev in Round 1
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aliev in Round 1
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $9
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 19%Not listed9%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 19%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 1
9%
Not listed
9%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 1
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $251
Dawson in Round 18%8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Dawson in Round 18%Polymarket 8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Dawson in Round 1
8%
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Dawson in Round 1
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dawson in Round 1
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 28%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Grant Dawson to win in Round 28%Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 2
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 2
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Dawson to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $215
Dawson in Round 27.5%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Dawson in Round 27.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Dawson in Round 2
7.5%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Dawson in Round 2
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dawson in Round 2
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Dawson in Round 37.5%7.5%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Dawson in Round 37.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dawson in Round 3
7.5%
7.5%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dawson in Round 3
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dawson in Round 3
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $6
Dawson to win by KO/TKO?7%7%4¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Dawson to win by KO/TKO?7%Polymarket 7%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dawson to win by KO/TKO?
7%
7%
4¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dawson to win by KO/TKO?
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dawson to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 17%Not listed7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Grant Dawson to win in Round 17%Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 1
7%
Not listed
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 1
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Dawson to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Aliev in Round 26.5%6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Aliev in Round 26.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Aliev in Round 2
6.5%
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Aliev in Round 2
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aliev in Round 2
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Aliev in Round 36%6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 24s agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Aliev in Round 36%Polymarket 6%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Aliev in Round 3
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 24s ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Aliev in Round 3
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aliev in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 36%Not listed6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Grant Dawson to win in Round 36%Kalshi 6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 3
6%
Not listed
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Grant Dawson to win in Round 3
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Dawson to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 25%Not listed5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 25%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 2
5%
Not listed
5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 2
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 33%Not listed3%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 33%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 3
3%
Not listed
3%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 3
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nurullo Aliev to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 92.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 77%. $60K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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