The Prediction Markets

Group K: Exact Order

Closed
Jul 12, 2026
Traded
$34K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
1: Colombia / 2: Portugal / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Congo DR
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Colombia / 2: Portugal / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Congo DR
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$983
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Portugal / 2: Congo DR / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Portugal / 2: Congo DR / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$774
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Colombia / 2: Portugal / 3: Congo DR / 4: Uzbekistan
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Colombia / 2: Portugal / 3: Congo DR / 4: Uzbekistan
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Portugal / 2: Colombia / 3: Congo DR / 4: Uzbekistan
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Portugal / 2: Colombia / 3: Congo DR / 4: Uzbekistan
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Congo DR / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Portugal / 4: Colombia
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Congo DR / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Portugal / 4: Colombia
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$544
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Congo DR / 2: Portugal / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Congo DR / 2: Portugal / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Portugal / 2: Colombia / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Congo DR
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Portugal / 2: Colombia / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Congo DR
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Colombia / 2: Congo DR / 3: Portugal / 4: Uzbekistan
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Colombia / 2: Congo DR / 3: Portugal / 4: Uzbekistan
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Portugal / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Colombia / 4: Congo DR
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Portugal / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Colombia / 4: Congo DR
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$298
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Portugal / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Congo DR / 4: Colombia
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Portugal / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Congo DR / 4: Colombia
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$322
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 14 more outcomes
1: Colombia / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Portugal / 4: Congo DR
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Colombia / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Portugal / 4: Congo DR
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Colombia / 2: Congo DR / 3: Portugal / 4: Uzbekistan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Colombia / 2: Congo DR / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Portugal
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Congo DR / 2: Colombia / 3: Portugal / 4: Uzbekistan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Congo DR / 2: Colombia / 3: Portugal / 4: Uzbekistan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Portugal / 2: Congo DR / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Portugal / 2: Congo DR / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Colombia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Portugal / 3: Colombia / 4: Congo DR
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Portugal / 3: Colombia / 4: Congo DR
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Colombia / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Congo DR / 4: Portugal
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Colombia / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Congo DR / 4: Portugal
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Congo DR / 2: Colombia / 3: Portugal / 4: Uzbekistan
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Congo DR / 2: Colombia / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Portugal
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Congo DR / 2: Portugal / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Congo DR / 2: Portugal / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Colombia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Congo DR / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Portugal / 4: Colombia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Congo DR / 2: Uzbekistan / 3: Colombia / 4: Portugal
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Colombia / 3: Congo DR / 4: Portugal
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Colombia / 3: Congo DR / 4: Portugal
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Colombia / 3: Portugal / 4: Congo DR
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Colombia / 3: Portugal / 4: Congo DR
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Congo DR / 3: Portugal / 4: Colombia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Congo DR / 3: Portugal / 4: Colombia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Congo DR / 3: Portugal / 4: Colombia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Congo DR / 3: Colombia / 4: Portugal
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Portugal / 3: Congo DR / 4: Colombia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1: Uzbekistan / 2: Portugal / 3: Congo DR / 4: Colombia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, FIFA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1: Colombia / 2: Portugal / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Congo DR
  • 1: Portugal / 2: Congo DR / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan
  • 1: Colombia / 2: Portugal / 3: Congo DR / 4: Uzbekistan

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Group K: Exact Order". 1: Colombia / 2: Portugal / 3: Uzbekistan / 4: Congo DR last traded at 26%. Next is 1: Portugal / 2: Congo DR / 3: Colombia / 4: Uzbekistan at 24%. $34K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 12, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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