The Prediction Markets

"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$31K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

90+ 94.4%

Next is 92+ at 94%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
90+
94.4%
Polymarket 94.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
94.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95.6¢
Sell Yes
93.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
92+
94%
Polymarket 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
92+
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94.6¢
Sell Yes
93.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
94+
89.5%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
94+
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90.2¢
Sell Yes
88.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
96+
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
96+
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
97+
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
97+
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
98+
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
98+
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 90+
  • 92+
  • 94+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""GTA VI" Metacritic Score?". 90+ leads at 94.4%. Next is 92+ at 94%. $31K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "GTA VI" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/grand-theft-auto-vi/) as of seven days after release, at 10:00 AM ET, is at least the specified value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For games released on multiple platforms, Metacritic displays a default Metascore, that being the Metascore for the game on the platform for which it has the most critical reviews. For the purposes of this market, the Metascore refers to that of the default platform as of seven days after release at 10:00 AM ET. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. PS5 or Xbox Series X/S), it will count. If GTA VI is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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