The Prediction Markets

GTA VI on PC in what month?

Closes
Apr 1, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$30K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 h ago
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

After March 2027 56.9%

Next is March 2027 at 18%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

After March 2027 56.9%March 2027 18%February 2027 10.9%January 2027 8%Before January 2027 6.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
After March 2027
56.9%
Polymarket 53.5%(56.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
After March 2027
Last price
53.5%
Fair, margin removed
56.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
March 2027
18%
Polymarket 16.9%(18% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $552 (5.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
March 2027
Last price
16.9%
Fair, margin removed
18%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
18.1¢
Sell Yes
15.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$552 (5.52x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
February 2027
10.9%
Polymarket 10.2%(10.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Polymarket
Contract
February 2027
Last price
10.2%
Fair, margin removed
10.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
11.9¢
Sell Yes
8.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$840 (8.40x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
January 2027
8%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
January 2027
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Before January 2027
6.2%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Before January 2027
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • After March 2027
  • March 2027
  • February 2027

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "GTA VI on PC in what month?". After March 2027 leads at 56.9%. Next is March 2027 at 18%. $30K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 1, 2027.

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the Rockstar Games Launcher, Steam, or Epic Games Store). The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which the PC version is available for purchase or download. A "PC version" refers to a full commercial release of the game for Windows PC. Beta versions, early access, technical tests, or leaked/unofficial builds will not qualify for resolution. If the PC version is released before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "Before January 2027". If no PC version is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "After March 2027". Announcements or scheduling of a PC release will not suffice; this market will resolve after the PC version has been released. Resolution will be based on official information from Rockstar Games; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets