The Prediction Markets

GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price

Closes
Nov 19, 2026, in 27 days
Traded
$88K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

60+ 98.2%

Next is 70+ at 97.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
60+
98.2%
Polymarket 98.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
98.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99.4¢
Sell Yes
96.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
70+
97.7%
Polymarket 97.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
97.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
96.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Polymarket
75+
97.3%
Polymarket 97.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
97.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
95.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
80+
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: playstation.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 60+
  • 70+
  • 75+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price". 60+ leads at 98.2%. Next is 70+ at 97.7%. $88K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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