The Prediction Markets

'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$24K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 7K 97%

Next is Above 10K at 97%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 7K
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 39s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7K
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$106
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10K
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 39s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10K
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12K
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 39s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12K
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5K
95.3%
Kalshi 90%polled, 39s agoKalshi 98%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5K
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5K
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$239
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6K
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 39s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6K
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
8¢
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4K
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4K
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$146
Trade this on Kalshi
25k+
89%
Polymarket 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
25k+
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 60K
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60K
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 320K
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 320K
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
50k+
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
50k+
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 25 more outcomes
Above 1K
74.5%
Kalshi 50%polled, 39s agoKalshi 99%polled, 39s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1K
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$303
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2K
73.5%
Kalshi 50%polled, 39s agoKalshi 97%polled, 39s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2K
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2K
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$368
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3K
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 39s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3K
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 120K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 120K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 160K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 160K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 180K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 180K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 200K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 200K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 220K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 220K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 20K
48.8%
Kalshi 49%polled, 39s agoKalshi 48.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20K
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15K
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15K
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
200k+
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
200k+
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 8K
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8K
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 380K
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 380K
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Kalshi
100k+
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
100k+
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 40K
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 40K
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 400K
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 400K
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 280K
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 280K
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 260K
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 260K
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 300K
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 300K
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80K
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80K
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 140K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 140K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 340K
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 340K
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 240K
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 240K
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 360K
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 360K
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: hitsdailydouble.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 7K
  • Above 10K
  • Above 12K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 7K for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?". Above 7K leads at 97%. Next is Above 10K at 97%. $24K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

"Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album" (Rockstar Games / Atlantic Records) is expected to release November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets