The Prediction Markets

Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend

Starts in 3 h 1 minKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5 84%

Next is Wong at 65.3%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
84%
Polymarket 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Wong
65.3%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 65%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Coleman Wong
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$966
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 6 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 65¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 66¢.

Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 21.5
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 Winner
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 22.5
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Coleman Wong (-1.5) vs Jay Dylan Friend (+1.5)
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 23.5
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jay Friend
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jay Friend
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Kalshi
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jay Dylan Friend (-1.5) vs Coleman Wong (+1.5)
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5
  • Wong
  • Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend". Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 84%. Next is Wong at 65.3%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Jay Dylan Friend in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Coleman Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets