The Prediction Markets

Houston vs San Antonio: 1st Quarter Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$8K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points 51%

Next is San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points at 45%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$381
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 1.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 3.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio wins by over 6.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$64
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 5.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio wins by over 8.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 8.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio wins by over 10.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 7.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
San Antonio wins by over 12.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 12.5 points
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 9.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio wins by over 14.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points
  • San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points
  • Houston wins by over 1.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Houston vs San Antonio: 1st Quarter Spread". San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points leads at 51%. Next is San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points at 45%. $8K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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