The Prediction Markets

How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$22.5M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

2,250 67.5%

Next is 3,000 at 30.5%. The venues differ most on 4,000 (Polymarket 6.5%, Kalshi 9%), a 2.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 34 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
2,250
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,250
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$1.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
3,000
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,000
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$247K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,000
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,000
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$585K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,750
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,750
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$762K
Trade this on Polymarket
3,500Arb
14%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 15%live, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,500
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3,500.00
Price
15%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$557K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 14¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Above $3,750.00
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3,750.00
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$239K
Trade this on Kalshi
1,500Arb
9.9%
Polymarket 9.6%polled, 21s agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,500
Last price
9.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$3.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1,500.00
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$502K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 10¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

1,250
8.3%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,250
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$828K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1,250.00
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$459K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

4,000Arb
7.4%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
4,000
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$624K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4,000.00
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$345K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 8¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Above $4,250.00
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4,250.00
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$181K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 16 more outcomes
Above $4,750.00
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4,750.00
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$274K
Trade this on Kalshi
4,500Arb
4.9%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 21s agoKalshi 6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
4,500
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$589K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4,500.00
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$287K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

5,000
3.1%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 21s agoKalshi 3%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
5,000
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$571K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5,000.00
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$385K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

1,000
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 21s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,000
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$2.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1,000.00
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$216K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

5,500
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
5,500
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$330K
Trade this on Polymarket
6,000
2.7%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 21s agoKalshi 3%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
6,000
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$339K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6,000.00
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$510K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.4¢.

6,500
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
6,500
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$242K
Trade this on Polymarket
Below $750.00
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $750.00
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$80K
Trade this on Kalshi
800
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
800
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$1.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
700
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
700
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
500
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
500
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$111K
Trade this on Polymarket
7,000
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
7,000
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$217K
Trade this on Polymarket
7,500
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
7,500
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$257K
Trade this on Polymarket
8,000
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
8,000
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$334K
Trade this on Polymarket
600
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
10,000
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
10,000
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$888K
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy 1,500 on Polymarket at 10¢, sell on Kalshi at 11¢ (100 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 2,250
  • 3,000
  • 2,000

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 2,250 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How high will Ethereum get in 2026?". 2,250 leads at 67.5%. Next is 3,000 at 30.5%. $22.5M has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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