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ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
5.39% or above 12%
Next is 5.52% or above at 8%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
5.39% or above12%12%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 23s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)5.39% or above12%Kalshi 12%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
5.39% or above
12%
12%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
5.39% or above
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.39% or above
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
5.52% or above8%8%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 23s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)5.52% or above8%Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
5.52% or above
8%
8%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
5.52% or above
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.52% or above
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $124
5.47% or above7%7%— bid, 24¢ askpolled, 23s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)5.47% or above7%Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
5.47% or above
7%
7%
— bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
5.47% or above
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.47% or above
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $595
5.53% or above6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)5.53% or above6%Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
5.53% or above
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
5.53% or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.53% or above
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $200
5.51% or above4%4%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 23s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)5.51% or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
5.51% or above
4%
4%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
5.51% or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.51% or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $397
5.38% or above3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)5.38% or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
5.38% or above
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
5.38% or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.38% or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
5.32% or above2%2%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 23s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)5.32% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
5.32% or above
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
5.32% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.32% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
5.33% or above2%2%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 23s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)5.33% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
5.33% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
5.33% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.33% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
5.36% or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)5.36% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.36% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.36% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.36% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
5.37% or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)5.37% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.37% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.37% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.37% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
5.44% or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)5.44% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.44% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.44% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.44% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $536
5.45% or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)5.45% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.45% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.45% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.45% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
5.46% or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)5.46% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.46% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.46% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.46% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $220
5.49% or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)5.49% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.49% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
5.49% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.49% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $722
5.55% or above2%2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)5.55% or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
5.55% or above
2%
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
5.55% or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.55% or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
5.4% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.4% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.4% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.4% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.4% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
5.5% or above1%1%— bid, 24¢ askpolled, 23s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)5.5% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
5.5% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
5.5% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.5% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $998
5.34% or above1%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 23s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)5.34% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
5.34% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
5.34% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.34% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
5.35% or above1%1%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)5.35% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
5.35% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
5.35% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.35% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $4K
5.41% or above1%1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)5.41% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
5.41% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
5.41% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.41% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
5.42% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.42% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.42% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.42% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.42% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $715
5.43% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.43% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.43% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.43% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.43% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $797
5.48% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.48% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.48% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.48% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.48% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $651
5.54% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.54% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.54% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.54% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.54% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $515
5.56% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.56% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.56% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.56% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.56% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $230
5.57% or above1%1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)5.57% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
5.57% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
5.57% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.57% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $718
5.58% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.58% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.58% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.58% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.58% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
5.59% or above1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)5.59% or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.59% or above
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
5.59% or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.59% or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: U.S. Department of the Treasury
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 5.39% or above
- 5.52% or above
- 5.47% or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?". 5.39% or above leads at 12%. Next is 5.52% or above at 8%. $39K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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