Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
37.0+ 99.4%
Next is 38.0+ at 96%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
37.0+99.4%99.4%99¢ bid, 99.8¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed99.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100 (1.00x)37.0+99.4%Polymarket 99.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
37.0+
99.4%
99.4%
99¢ bid, 99.8¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
99.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100 (1.00x)
37.0+
99.4%
Polymarket 99.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 37.0+
- Last price
- 99.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100 (1.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
38.0+96%96%93¢ bid, 98.9¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed98.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)38.0+96%Polymarket 96%polled, just nowBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
38.0+
96%
96%
93¢ bid, 98.9¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
98.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
38.0+
96%
Polymarket 96%polled, just nowBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 38.0+
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $3K
36.0+95.9%95.9%92.2¢ bid, 99.6¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed99.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100 (1.00x)36.0+95.9%Polymarket 95.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
36.0+
95.9%
95.9%
92.2¢ bid, 99.6¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
99.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100 (1.00x)
36.0+
95.9%
Polymarket 95.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 36.0+
- Last price
- 95.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 92.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100 (1.00x)
- Volume
- $762
37%89.9%89.9%81.3¢ bid, 98.5¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed98.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)37%89.9%Polymarket 89.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 98.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
37%
89.9%
89.9%
81.3¢ bid, 98.5¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
98.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
37%
89.9%
Polymarket 89.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 98.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 37%
- Last price
- 89.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 81.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $755
39%68%68%66¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed70¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $143 (1.43x)39%68%Polymarket 68%polled, just nowBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
39%
68%
68%
66¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
70¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
39%
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, just nowBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 39%
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $3K
35%64.5%64.5%62¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)35%64.5%Polymarket 64.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
35%
64.5%
64.5%
62¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
35%
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 35%
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $1K
36%64%64%63¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed65¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $154 (1.54x)36%64%Polymarket 64%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
36%
64%
64%
63¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
65¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
36%
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 36%
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $2K
38.5–38.961.5%61.5%51¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed72¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $139 (1.39x)38.5–38.961.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
38.5–38.9
61.5%
61.5%
51¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
72¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
38.5–38.9
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 38.5–38.9
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $3K
40%60%60%59¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed61¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $164 (1.64x)40%60%Polymarket 60%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
40%
60%
60%
59¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
61¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
40%
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 40%
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $2K
34%56.5%56.5%41¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed72¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $139 (1.39x)34%56.5%Polymarket 56.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
34%
56.5%
56.5%
41¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
72¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
34%
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 34%
- Last price
- 56.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
38.0–38.436.5%36.5%28¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)38.0–38.436.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
38.0–38.4
36.5%
36.5%
28¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
38.0–38.4
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 38.0–38.4
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $3K
41%29.5%29.5%16¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)41%29.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
41%
29.5%
29.5%
16¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
43¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
41%
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 41%
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
42%16.5%16.5%11¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)42%16.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
42%
16.5%
16.5%
11¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
42%
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 42%
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $969
32%10.5%10.5%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)32%10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
32%
10.5%
10.5%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
32%
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 32%
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $3K
44%10.5%10.5%9¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)44%10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
44%
10.5%
10.5%
9¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
44%
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 44%
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
30%10%10%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)30%10%Polymarket 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
30%
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
30%
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 30%
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $2K
46%6.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)46%6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
46%
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
46%
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 46%
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $577
Above 43%6%Not listed6%5.1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 43%6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 43%
6%
Not listed
6%
5.1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 43%
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 43%
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $58K
Above 44%6%Not listed6%3.1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 44%6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 44%
6%
Not listed
6%
3.1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 44%
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 44%
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $29K
39.0+5%5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)39.0+5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
39.0+
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
39.0+
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 39.0+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $7K
Above 45%4.8%Not listed4.8%4.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Above 45%4.8%Kalshi 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Above 45%
4.8%
Not listed
4.8%
4.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Above 45%
4.8%
Kalshi 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 45%
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $15K
Above 50%3.8%Not listed3.8%2¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Above 50%3.8%Kalshi 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Above 50%
3.8%
Not listed
3.8%
2¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Above 50%
3.8%
Kalshi 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 50%
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $22K
Above 48%3.7%Not listed3.7%2.1¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)Above 48%3.7%Kalshi 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Above 48%
3.7%
Not listed
3.7%
2.1¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Above 48%
3.7%
Kalshi 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 48%
- Last price
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $4K
Above 49%3.3%Not listed3.3%1.4¢ bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Above 49%3.3%Kalshi 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Above 49%
3.3%
Not listed
3.3%
1.4¢ bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Above 49%
3.3%
Kalshi 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 49%
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $4K
Above 46%2.6%Not listed2.6%2.1¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Above 46%2.6%Kalshi 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Above 46%
2.6%
Not listed
2.6%
2.1¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Above 46%
2.6%
Kalshi 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 46%
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $10K
Above 47%2.1%Not listed2.1%2.1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above 47%2.1%Kalshi 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 47%
2.1%
Not listed
2.1%
2.1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 47%
2.1%
Kalshi 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 47%
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $17K
40.0+1.1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)40.0+1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
40.0+
1.1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
40.0+
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 40.0+
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $7K
41.0+1.1%1.1%0.3¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)41.0+1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
41.0+
1.1%
1.1%
0.3¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
41.0+
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 41.0+
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $5K
39.0–39.41%1%0.2¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)39.0–39.41%Polymarket 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
39.0–39.4
1%
1%
0.2¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
39.0–39.4
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 39.0–39.4
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $3K
37.5–37.90.4%0.4%0.2¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)37.5–37.90.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
37.5–37.9
0.4%
0.4%
0.2¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
37.5–37.9
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 37.5–37.9
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $2K
37.50.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)37.50.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
37.5
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
37.5
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 37.5
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $1K
39.5+0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)39.5+0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
39.5+
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
39.5+
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 39.5+
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: realclearpolling.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: VoteHub
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 37.0+
- 38.0+
- 36.0+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list 37.0+ for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?". 37.0+ leads at 99.4%. Next is 38.0+ at 96%. $215K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More politics markets
See all politics markets- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%$1.3B traded
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance43.9%$715.9M traded
- 2028 Democratic nominee for President?Jon Ossoff16%$245.7M traded
- Netanyahu out by...?December 3140.5%$124.6M traded
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro76.1%$98.7M traded
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?J.D. Vance20%$76.0M traded