The Prediction Markets

How high will WTI oil get by Dec 31, 2026?

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$9.3M
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

115.01 or above 35.3%

Next is 120.01 or above at 28%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
115.01 or above
35.3%
Kalshi 35.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 35.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $282 (2.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
115.01 or above
Last price
35.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
35.4¢
Sell Yes
34.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$282 (2.82x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
120.01 or above
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
120.01 or above
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
27.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
125.01 or above
22.1%
Kalshi 22.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 23.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $431 (4.31x)
Kalshi
Contract
125.01 or above
Last price
22.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
23.2¢
Sell Yes
22.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$431 (4.31x)
Volume
$725K
Trade this on Kalshi
130.01 or above
17.9%
Kalshi 17.9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 19.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $521 (5.21x)
Kalshi
Contract
130.01 or above
Last price
17.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
19.2¢
Sell Yes
17.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$521 (5.21x)
Volume
$721K
Trade this on Kalshi
135.01 or above
15.2%
Kalshi 15.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $641 (6.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
135.01 or above
Last price
15.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15.6¢
Sell Yes
15.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$641 (6.41x)
Volume
$509K
Trade this on Kalshi
140.01 or above
11.9%
Kalshi 11.9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $840 (8.40x)
Kalshi
Contract
140.01 or above
Last price
11.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
11.9¢
Sell Yes
11.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$840 (8.40x)
Volume
$775K
Trade this on Kalshi
150.01 or above
10.9%
Kalshi 10.9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
150.01 or above
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
10.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
160.01 or above
8.8%
Kalshi 8.8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Kalshi
Contract
160.01 or above
Last price
8.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
8.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$736K
Trade this on Kalshi
180.01 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
180.01 or above
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$980K
Trade this on Kalshi
200.01 or above
5.7%
Kalshi 5.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
200.01 or above
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$750K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ICE

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 115.01 or above
  • 120.01 or above
  • 125.01 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How high will WTI oil get by Dec 31, 2026?". 115.01 or above leads at 35.3%. Next is 120.01 or above at 28%. $9.3M has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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