The Prediction Markets

How high will XRP get in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$760K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

1.20 73%

Next is 1.00 at 29%. The venues differ most on 4 (Polymarket 2.8%, Kalshi 10%), a 7.3-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 32 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
1.20
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.20
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.00
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.00
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $2.50
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.50
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.00
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.00
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$57K
Trade this on Kalshi
0.80
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.80
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $3.50
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.50
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.50
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.50
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.50
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.50
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.50
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.50
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $0.75
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.75
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 18 more outcomes
4Arb
7.2%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 10%live, just nowBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.00
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.00
Price
10%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

2.60
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.60
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $7.00
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $7.00
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $0.50
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.50
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
3Arb
6.5%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.00
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.00
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 60 bps before fees.

0.60
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.60
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
6Arb
4.9%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
6.00
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$648
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.00
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 270 bps before fees.

2.80
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.80
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.20
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.20
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.40
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.40
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.60
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.60
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.80
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.80
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
5Arb
2.7%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
5.00
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$146K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.00
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 270 bps before fees.

0.40
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.40
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Below $0.25
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.25
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
4.20
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.20
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.20
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.20
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Polymarket
8.00
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.00
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy 5 on Polymarket at 2.3¢, sell on Kalshi at 5¢ (270 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1.20
  • 1.00
  • Above $2.50

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 1.20 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How high will XRP get in 2026?". 1.20 leads at 73%. Next is 1.00 at 29%. $760K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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