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What the markets expect
At least 7 days 92%
Next is At least 14 days at 90%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
At least 7 days92%Not listed92%92¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 4 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)At least 7 days92%Kalshi 92%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
At least 7 days
92%
Not listed
92%
92¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
At least 7 days
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 7 days
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $4K
At least 14 days90%Not listed90%85¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)At least 14 days90%Kalshi 90%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
At least 14 days
90%
Not listed
90%
85¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
At least 14 days
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 14 days
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
At least 30 days85%Not listed85%80¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 4 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)At least 30 days85%Kalshi 85%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
At least 30 days
85%
Not listed
85%
80¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
At least 30 days
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 30 days
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
At least 60 days80%Not listed80%75¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 4 min ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)At least 60 days80%Kalshi 80%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
At least 60 days
80%
Not listed
80%
75¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
At least 60 days
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 60 days
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
At least 100 days68%Not listed68%58¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 4 min ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)At least 100 days68%Kalshi 68%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
At least 100 days
68%
Not listed
68%
58¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
At least 100 days
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 100 days
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $180
At least 180 days50%Not listed50%40¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 4 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)At least 180 days50%Kalshi 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
At least 180 days
50%
Not listed
50%
40¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
At least 180 days
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 180 days
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $60
At least 365 days33%Not listed33%23¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 4 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)At least 365 days33%Kalshi 33%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
At least 365 days
33%
Not listed
33%
23¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
At least 365 days
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 365 days
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $5
Anna Kelly17.5%17.5%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Anna Kelly17.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Anna Kelly
17.5%
17.5%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Anna Kelly
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anna Kelly
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $58K
Scott Jennings11.5%11.5%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Scott Jennings11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Scott Jennings
11.5%
11.5%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Scott Jennings
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scott Jennings
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $49K
At least 730 days10%Not listed10%5¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)At least 730 days10%Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
At least 730 days
10%
Not listed
10%
5¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
At least 730 days
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- At least 730 days
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Show 29 more outcomesHide 29 outcomes
Elizabeth Pipko9%9%8.4¢ bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed9.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)Elizabeth Pipko9%Polymarket 9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Elizabeth Pipko
9%
9%
8.4¢ bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
9.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Elizabeth Pipko
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elizabeth Pipko
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $12K
Kari Lake7.9%7.9%7.8¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Kari Lake7.9%Polymarket 7.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kari Lake
7.9%
7.9%
7.8¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kari Lake
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kari Lake
- Last price
- 7.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Katie Miller6.4%6.4%5.8¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Katie Miller6.4%Polymarket 6.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Katie Miller
6.4%
6.4%
5.8¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Katie Miller
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Katie Miller
- Last price
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $786
Beni Rae Harmony4.8%4.8%2.4¢ bid, 7.2¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed7.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)Beni Rae Harmony4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Beni Rae Harmony
4.8%
4.8%
2.4¢ bid, 7.2¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
7.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Beni Rae Harmony
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Beni Rae Harmony
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,389 (13.9x)
- Volume
- $960
Maria Bartiromo4.7%4.7%4.2¢ bid, 5.1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed5.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)Maria Bartiromo4.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Maria Bartiromo
4.7%
4.7%
4.2¢ bid, 5.1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
5.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Maria Bartiromo
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Maria Bartiromo
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,961 (19.6x)
- Volume
- $13K
Alina Habba4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Alina Habba4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Alina Habba
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Alina Habba
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alina Habba
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kayleigh McEnany4%4%1.2¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Kayleigh McEnany4%Polymarket 4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Kayleigh McEnany
4%
4%
1.2¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Kayleigh McEnany
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kayleigh McEnany
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Monica Crowley4%4%0.8¢ bid, 7.2¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed7.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)Monica Crowley4%Polymarket 4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Monica Crowley
4%
4%
0.8¢ bid, 7.2¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
7.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Monica Crowley
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Monica Crowley
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,389 (13.9x)
- Volume
- $586
Margo Martin3.4%3.4%3.2¢ bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed3.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)Margo Martin3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Margo Martin
3.4%
3.4%
3.2¢ bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
3.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Margo Martin
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Margo Martin
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
- Volume
- $1K
Lauren Bis2.8%2.8%2.5¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Lauren Bis2.8%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lauren Bis
2.8%
2.8%
2.5¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lauren Bis
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lauren Bis
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $256
Harrison Fields2.7%2.7%1.5¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Harrison Fields2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Harrison Fields
2.7%
2.7%
1.5¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Harrison Fields
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Harrison Fields
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Natalie Harp2.6%2.6%2.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Natalie Harp2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Natalie Harp
2.6%
2.6%
2.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Natalie Harp
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Natalie Harp
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $10K
Taylor Rogers2.6%2.6%2¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Taylor Rogers2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Taylor Rogers
2.6%
2.6%
2¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Taylor Rogers
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Taylor Rogers
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $711
Katie Pavlich2.5%2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Katie Pavlich2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Katie Pavlich
2.5%
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Katie Pavlich
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Katie Pavlich
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
Steven Cheung2.4%2.4%2¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Steven Cheung2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Steven Cheung
2.4%
2.4%
2¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Steven Cheung
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Steven Cheung
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Tricia McLaughlin2.4%2.4%2¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Tricia McLaughlin2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Tricia McLaughlin
2.4%
2.4%
2¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Tricia McLaughlin
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tricia McLaughlin
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Laura Loomer2.3%2.3%0.6¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Laura Loomer2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Laura Loomer
2.3%
2.3%
0.6¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Laura Loomer
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Laura Loomer
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Lara Trump2.3%2.3%2¢ bid, 2.5¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)Lara Trump2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Lara Trump
2.3%
2.3%
2¢ bid, 2.5¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Lara Trump
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lara Trump
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $245
Karoline Leavitt1.9%1.9%1.6¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Karoline Leavitt1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Karoline Leavitt
1.9%
1.9%
1.6¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Karoline Leavitt
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Karoline Leavitt
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $5K
Liz Huston1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Liz Huston1.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Liz Huston
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Liz Huston
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liz Huston
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $444
Rachel Campos-Duffy1.2%1.2%1¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Rachel Campos-Duffy1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Rachel Campos-Duffy
1.2%
1.2%
1¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Rachel Campos-Duffy
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rachel Campos-Duffy
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $398
Hogan Gidley0.9%0.9%0.7¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hogan Gidley0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hogan Gidley
0.9%
0.9%
0.7¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hogan Gidley
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hogan Gidley
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $588
Ari Fleischer0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ari Fleischer0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ari Fleischer
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ari Fleischer
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ari Fleischer
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $258
Kaelan Dorr0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kaelan Dorr0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kaelan Dorr
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kaelan Dorr
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kaelan Dorr
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $141
Kush Desai0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kush Desai0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kush Desai
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kush Desai
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kush Desai
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $194
Spencer Pratt0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Spencer Pratt0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Spencer Pratt
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Spencer Pratt
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spencer Pratt
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $152
Matthew Boyle0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Matthew Boyle0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Matthew Boyle
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Matthew Boyle
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matthew Boyle
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $253
Pat Adams0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Pat Adams0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Pat Adams
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Pat Adams
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pat Adams
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $266
Jake Paul0.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Jake Paul0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jake Paul
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jake Paul
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jake Paul
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $177
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The White House, The New York Times, Associated Press
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- At least 7 days
- At least 14 days
- At least 30 days
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list At least 7 days for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?". At least 7 days leads at 92%. Next is At least 14 days at 90%. $186K has traded across 39 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 21, 2029.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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