The Prediction Markets

How low will WTI oil get by Nov 30, 2026?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 26 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
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What the markets expect

95.49 or below 97%

Next is 94.49 or below at 96%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
95.49 or below
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
95.49 or below
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Kalshi
94.49 or below
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
94.49 or below
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
9¢
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
93.99 or below
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
93.99 or below
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
9¢
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
95.99 or below
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
95.99 or below
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
94.99 or below
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
94.99 or below
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
6¢
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
91.99 or below
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
91.99 or below
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
91.49 or below
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
91.49 or below
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Kalshi
93.49 or below
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
93.49 or below
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Kalshi
92.49 or below
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
92.49 or below
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Kalshi
92.99 or below
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
92.99 or below
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
90.99 or below
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
90.99 or below
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$402
Trade this on Kalshi
89.99 or below
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
89.99 or below
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$398
Trade this on Kalshi
90.49 or below
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
90.49 or below
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Kalshi
89.49 or below
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
89.49 or below
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ICE

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 95.49 or below
  • 94.49 or below
  • 93.99 or below

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How low will WTI oil get by Nov 30, 2026?". 95.49 or below leads at 97%. Next is 94.49 or below at 96%. $3K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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