The Prediction Markets

How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$33K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

50+ 36.3%

Next is 0 at 26.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

50+ 36.3%0 26.7%Expelled 20.9%20-29 7.3%30-49 6.4%2 others 2.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
50+
36.3%
Polymarket 45.5%(36.3% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
45.5%
Fair, margin removed
36.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
0
26.7%
Polymarket 33.5%(26.7% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
0
Last price
33.5%
Fair, margin removed
26.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Expelled
20.9%
Polymarket 26.2%(20.9% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $212 (2.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Expelled
Last price
26.2%
Fair, margin removed
20.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
47.1¢
Sell Yes
5.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$212 (2.12x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
20-29
7.3%
Polymarket 9.1%(7.3% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $599 (5.99x)
Polymarket
Contract
20-29
Last price
9.1%
Fair, margin removed
7.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
16.7¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$599 (5.99x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
30-49
6.4%
Polymarket 8.1%(6.4% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $658 (6.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
30-49
Last price
8.1%
Fair, margin removed
6.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$658 (6.58x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
10-19
1.6%
Polymarket 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
10-19
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
1-9
0.8%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
1-9
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 50+
  • 0
  • Expelled

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?". 50+ leads at 36.3%. Next is 0 at 26.7%. $33K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case), as officially determined as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If a points deduction is reduced, increased, or overturned on appeal and the appeal decision is officially announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced deduction will be used. If deductions are applied across more than one season, the total across all seasons will count. A suspended points deduction that is not immediately applied will not count. If no points deduction has been imposed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0". If, as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced sanction in this case expels Manchester City FC from the Premier League, this market will resolve to "Expelled", regardless of any points deduction. Each range includes both of its bounds, so every whole number of points maps to exactly one option. For example, a deduction of 10 points resolves to "10-19", and a deduction of 50 points resolves to "50+". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets