The Prediction Markets

How many goals will Cristiano Ronaldo score in the 2026-27 season?

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$11K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

20+ 81.5%

Next is 10+ at 70.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
20+
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
20+
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$892
Trade this on Polymarket
10+
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
10+
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
15+
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
15+
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
25+
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
25+
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
30+
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
30+
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
40+
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$986
Trade this on Polymarket
45+
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
45+
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$574
Trade this on Polymarket
35+
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
35+
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 20+
  • 10+
  • 15+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How many goals will Cristiano Ronaldo score in the 2026-27 season?". 20+ leads at 81.5%. Next is 10+ at 70.5%. $11K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Cristiano Ronaldo scores during the 2026-27 season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 2026-27 season covers matches played from August 13, 2026, the opening day of the 2026-27 Saudi Pro League season, through June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Goals scored before August 13, 2026 do not count toward the total, including goals scored at the 2026 FIFA World Cup and goals scored in the 2025-26 season. Goals count only in official competitive matches: his club's league matches, domestic cup matches, continental and international club competitions, and competitive matches for the Portugal senior men's national team. Goals in friendly matches, exhibition matches, testimonials, and pre-season or mid-season tour matches do not count. Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the total. If Cristiano Ronaldo does not play in any match during this period, this market will resolve to "No". If it cannot be determined how many goals Cristiano Ronaldo scored by July 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant competition organisers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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