The Prediction Markets

How many NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?

Closes
Jan 12, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

3+ 97.5%

Next is 4+ at 86%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
3+
97.5%
Polymarket 97.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 98.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
3+
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.2¢
Sell Yes
96.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
4+
86%
Polymarket 86%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
4+
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
5+
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
5+
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$279
Trade this on Polymarket
6+
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
6+
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
7+
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
7+
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
8+
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
8+
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3+
  • 4+
  • 5+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How many NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?". 3+ leads at 97.5%. Next is 4+ at 86%. $21K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 12, 2027.

In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never before occurred in a sport or league's history. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of NFL Scorigamis that occur during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 2026-27 NFL regular season covers all games from Week 1 through Week 18. Each game whose final score is a Scorigami counts as one Scorigami toward the total, including games played before this market opened. If two or more games in the same week produce Scorigamis, each counts separately toward the total. Preseason and postseason games, including Super Bowl LXI, will not count toward the total. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as the listed number of Scorigamis has occurred. If any 2026-27 NFL regular season game is canceled, or is postponed beyond February 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the final scores of all completed regular season games. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/scores/), however other sites tracking Scorigami may be used (nflscorigami.com, twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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