Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
100 or above 25%
Next is 45.0000 - $49.9999 at 12%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
100 or above25%25%14¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 19s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)100 or above25%Kalshi 25%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
100 or above
25%
25%
14¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
100 or above
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 100 or above
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
45.0000 - $49.999912%12%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 19s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)45.0000 - $49.999912%Kalshi 12%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
45.0000 - $49.9999
12%
12%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
45.0000 - $49.9999
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 45.0000 - $49.9999
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $307
80.0000 - $84.999911%11%2¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 19s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)80.0000 - $84.999911%Kalshi 11%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
80.0000 - $84.9999
11%
11%
2¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
80.0000 - $84.9999
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80.0000 - $84.9999
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $100
95.0000 - $99.999911%11%1¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 19s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)95.0000 - $99.999911%Kalshi 11%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
95.0000 - $99.9999
11%
11%
1¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
95.0000 - $99.9999
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 95.0000 - $99.9999
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $207
50.0000 - $54.999910%10%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 19s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)50.0000 - $54.999910%Kalshi 10%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
50.0000 - $54.9999
10%
10%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
50.0000 - $54.9999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 50.0000 - $54.9999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $5
60.0000 - $64.999910%10%— bid, 20¢ askpolled, 19s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)60.0000 - $64.999910%Kalshi 10%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
60.0000 - $64.9999
10%
10%
— bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
60.0000 - $64.9999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 60.0000 - $64.9999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
65.0000 - $69.999910%10%— bid, 20¢ askpolled, 19s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)65.0000 - $69.999910%Kalshi 10%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
65.0000 - $69.9999
10%
10%
— bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
65.0000 - $69.9999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 65.0000 - $69.9999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
70.0000 - $74.99999.5%9.5%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 19s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)70.0000 - $74.99999.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
70.0000 - $74.9999
9.5%
9.5%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
70.0000 - $74.9999
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70.0000 - $74.9999
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
40.0000 - $44.99999%9%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 19s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)40.0000 - $44.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
40.0000 - $44.9999
9%
9%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
40.0000 - $44.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 40.0000 - $44.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $5
55.0000 - $59.99999%9%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 19s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)55.0000 - $59.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
55.0000 - $59.9999
9%
9%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
55.0000 - $59.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 55.0000 - $59.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $5
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
75.0000 - $79.99999%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 19s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)75.0000 - $79.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
75.0000 - $79.9999
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
75.0000 - $79.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75.0000 - $79.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
35.0000 - $39.99996%6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 19s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)35.0000 - $39.99996%Kalshi 6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
35.0000 - $39.9999
6%
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
35.0000 - $39.9999
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 35.0000 - $39.9999
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
30.0000 - $34.99995.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 19s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)30.0000 - $34.99995.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
30.0000 - $34.9999
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
30.0000 - $34.9999
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 30.0000 - $34.9999
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
9.9999 or below5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)9.9999 or below5%Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
9.9999 or below
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
9.9999 or below
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9.9999 or below
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1
10.0000 - $14.99995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)10.0000 - $14.99995%Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
10.0000 - $14.9999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
10.0000 - $14.9999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10.0000 - $14.9999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
15.0000 - $19.99995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)15.0000 - $19.99995%Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
15.0000 - $19.9999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
15.0000 - $19.9999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 15.0000 - $19.9999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
20.0000 - $24.99995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)20.0000 - $24.99995%Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
20.0000 - $24.9999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
20.0000 - $24.9999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 20.0000 - $24.9999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
25.0000 - $29.99995%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 19s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)25.0000 - $29.99995%Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
25.0000 - $29.9999
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
25.0000 - $29.9999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 25.0000 - $29.9999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
90.0000 - $94.99995%5%5¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 19s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)90.0000 - $94.99995%Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
90.0000 - $94.9999
5%
5%
5¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
90.0000 - $94.9999
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90.0000 - $94.9999
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $203
85.0000 - $89.99992%2%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 19s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)85.0000 - $89.99992%Kalshi 2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
85.0000 - $89.9999
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 19s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
85.0000 - $89.9999
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85.0000 - $89.9999
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $690
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 100 or above
- 45.0000 - $49.9999
- 80.0000 - $84.9999
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "HYPE price at the end of the year? ". 100 or above leads at 25%. Next is 45.0000 - $49.9999 at 12%. $4K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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