The Prediction Markets

I Play Rocky · Rotten Tomatoes score

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$191K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Above 45 99%

Next is Above 50 at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 45
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
92+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
92+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
94+
98.2%
Polymarket 98.2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
94+
Last price
98.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Polymarket
85+
98.2%
Polymarket 98.2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
98.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
96.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 55
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
96+
97.5%
Polymarket 97.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
96+
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
96.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 60
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 15 more outcomes
98+
89%
Polymarket 89%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
98+
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 72
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 72
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
40+
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$941
Trade this on Polymarket
50+
78.5%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 35s agoPolymarket 24.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.2¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$560
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 75
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 77
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 77
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
60+
51.1%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 35s agoPolymarket 26%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$858
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
90+
39.8%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 35s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 35s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$479
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 80
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
75+
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Polymarket
70+
35.1%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 35s agoPolymarket 3.9%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 82
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 82
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
80+
7.1%
Polymarket 9%polled, 35s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 90
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 45
  • Above 50
  • 92+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 45 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "I Play Rocky · Rotten Tomatoes score". Above 45 leads at 99%. Next is Above 50 at 99%. $191K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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