The Prediction Markets

IEM Rio 2026: Winner

Closed
Apr 19, 2026
Traded
$40K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 19, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Vitality
60.7%
Polymarket 63.5%(60.7% fair)polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vitality
Last price
63.5%
Fair, margin removed
60.7%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Falcons
10%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Falcons
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
FURIA
10%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
FURIA
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Natus Vincere
6.2%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Natus Vincere
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Spirit
5.3%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Spirit
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
MOUZ
3.6%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
MOUZ
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aurora
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aurora
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
G2
1.1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
G2
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Legacy
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Legacy
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
B8
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
B8
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
3DMAX
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
3DMAX
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Passion UA
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Passion UA
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Liquid
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Liquid
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gentle Mates
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gentle Mates
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
HOTU
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
HOTU
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$531
Trade this on Polymarket
RED Canids
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4723 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
RED Canids
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Vitality
  • Falcons
  • FURIA

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "IEM Rio 2026: Winner". Vitality last traded at 60.7%. Next is Falcons at 10%. $40K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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