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What the markets expect
Jonathan Taylor 16%
Next is Aaron Jones Sr. at 15.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jonathan Taylor16%16%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Jonathan Taylor16%Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jonathan Taylor
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jonathan Taylor
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $112
Aaron Jones Sr.15.5%15.5%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just now16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Aaron Jones Sr.15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Aaron Jones Sr.
15.5%
15.5%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Aaron Jones Sr.
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Justin Jefferson12%12%9¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Justin Jefferson12%Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Justin Jefferson
12%
12%
9¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Justin Jefferson
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Jefferson
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $370
Jordan Addison6.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Jordan Addison6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jordan Addison
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jordan Addison
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan Addison
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Kyler Murray6%6%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Kyler Murray6%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kyler Murray
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kyler Murray
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $40
Jauan Jennings5%5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Jauan Jennings5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jauan Jennings
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jauan Jennings
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jauan Jennings
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $38
Keenan Allen5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Keenan Allen5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keenan Allen
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keenan Allen
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keenan Allen
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $155
MIN Vikings D/ST5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)MIN Vikings D/ST5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
MIN Vikings D/ST
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
MIN Vikings D/ST
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- MIN Vikings D/ST
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $377
Josh Downs3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Josh Downs3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Josh Downs
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Josh Downs
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Downs
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
IND Colts D/ST3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)IND Colts D/ST3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
IND Colts D/ST
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
IND Colts D/ST
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- IND Colts D/ST
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
Mo Alie-Cox2.5%2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Mo Alie-Cox2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mo Alie-Cox
2.5%
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mo Alie-Cox
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mo Alie-Cox
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Tai Felton2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tai Felton2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tai Felton
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tai Felton
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tai Felton
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Laquon Treadwell2%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Laquon Treadwell2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Laquon Treadwell
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Laquon Treadwell
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laquon Treadwell
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Daniel Jones1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Daniel Jones1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Daniel Jones
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Daniel Jones
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Drew Ogletree1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Drew Ogletree1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Drew Ogletree
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Drew Ogletree
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Ogletree
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Gavin Bartholomew1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Gavin Bartholomew1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gavin Bartholomew
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gavin Bartholomew
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gavin Bartholomew
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Myles Price1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Myles Price1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Myles Price
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Myles Price
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Myles Price
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Will Mallory: 1st Touchdown1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Will Mallory: 1st Touchdown1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Will Mallory: 1st Touchdown
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Will Mallory: 1st Touchdown
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Will Mallory: 1st Touchdown
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Ben Yurosek1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ben Yurosek1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ben Yurosek
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ben Yurosek
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Yurosek
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Deion Burks1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Deion Burks1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Deion Burks
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Deion Burks
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deion Burks
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Seth McGowan1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, just now2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Seth McGowan1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Seth McGowan
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Seth McGowan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seth McGowan
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
No Touchdown0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)No Touchdown0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
No Touchdown
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
No Touchdown
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Touchdown
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the league governing the game
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jonathan Taylor
- Aaron Jones Sr.
- Justin Jefferson
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Indianapolis vs Minnesota: 1st Touchdown". Jonathan Taylor leads at 16%. Next is Aaron Jones Sr. at 15.5%. $1K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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