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What the markets expect
Jonathan Taylor: 40+ 84%
Next is Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+ at 80%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jonathan Taylor: 40+84%84%83¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 3 min ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Jonathan Taylor: 40+84%Kalshi 84%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Jonathan Taylor: 40+
84%
84%
83¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Jonathan Taylor: 40+
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 40+
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $16
Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+80%80%68¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3 min ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+80%Kalshi 80%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+
80%
80%
68¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $1
Kyler Murray: 10+77%77%70¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 3 min ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Kyler Murray: 10+77%Kalshi 77%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kyler Murray: 10+
77%
77%
70¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kyler Murray: 10+
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 10+
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Jonathan Taylor: 50+73%73%73¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 3 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Jonathan Taylor: 50+73%Kalshi 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Jonathan Taylor: 50+
73%
73%
73¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Jonathan Taylor: 50+
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 50+
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $13
Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+68.5%68.5%63¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 3 min ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+68.5%Kalshi 68.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+
68.5%
68.5%
63¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+
68.5%
Kalshi 68.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+
- Last price
- 68.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Kyler Murray: 15+68%68%61¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 3 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Kyler Murray: 15+68%Kalshi 68%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kyler Murray: 15+
68%
68%
61¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kyler Murray: 15+
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 15+
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+65%65%52¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 3 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+65%Kalshi 65%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+
65%
65%
52¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $20
Jonathan Taylor: 60+64%64%64¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 3 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Jonathan Taylor: 60+64%Kalshi 64%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Jonathan Taylor: 60+
64%
64%
64¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Jonathan Taylor: 60+
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 60+
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
Kyler Murray: 20+60%60%51¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 3 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Kyler Murray: 20+60%Kalshi 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kyler Murray: 20+
60%
60%
51¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kyler Murray: 20+
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 20+
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $20
Jonathan Taylor: 70+52%52%50¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 3 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Jonathan Taylor: 70+52%Kalshi 52%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Jonathan Taylor: 70+
52%
52%
50¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Jonathan Taylor: 70+
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 70+
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $53
Show 28 more outcomesHide 28 outcomes
Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+51%51%47¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 3 min ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+51%Kalshi 51%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+
51%
51%
47¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $505
Kyler Murray: 25+49%49%49¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 3 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Kyler Murray: 25+49%Kalshi 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kyler Murray: 25+
49%
49%
49¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kyler Murray: 25+
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 25+
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $37
Jonathan Taylor: 80+42%42%39¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 3 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Jonathan Taylor: 80+42%Kalshi 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Jonathan Taylor: 80+
42%
42%
39¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Jonathan Taylor: 80+
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 80+
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $34
Daniel Jones: 10+39%39%39¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 3 min ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Daniel Jones: 10+39%Kalshi 39%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Daniel Jones: 10+
39%
39%
39¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Daniel Jones: 10+
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones: 10+
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+37%37%34¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 3 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+37%Kalshi 37%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+
37%
37%
34¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $111
Kyler Murray: 30+37%37%31¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 3 min ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Kyler Murray: 30+37%Kalshi 37%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kyler Murray: 30+
37%
37%
31¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kyler Murray: 30+
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 30+
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Jonathan Taylor: 90+29%29%29¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 3 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Jonathan Taylor: 90+29%Kalshi 29%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Jonathan Taylor: 90+
29%
29%
29¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Jonathan Taylor: 90+
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 90+
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $10
Jonathan Taylor: 100+25%25%22¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 3 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Jonathan Taylor: 100+25%Kalshi 25%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jonathan Taylor: 100+
25%
25%
22¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jonathan Taylor: 100+
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 100+
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $45
Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+23.5%23.5%20¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+
23.5%
23.5%
20¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Kyler Murray: 40+23%23%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Kyler Murray: 40+23%Kalshi 23%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kyler Murray: 40+
23%
23%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kyler Murray: 40+
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 40+
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $124
Daniel Jones: 15+20%20%15¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 3 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Daniel Jones: 15+20%Kalshi 20%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Daniel Jones: 15+
20%
20%
15¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Daniel Jones: 15+
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones: 15+
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Jonathan Taylor: 110+16.5%16.5%14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 3 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Jonathan Taylor: 110+16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Jonathan Taylor: 110+
16.5%
16.5%
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Jonathan Taylor: 110+
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 110+
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 70+16%16%12¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 3 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 70+16%Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 70+
16%
16%
12¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 70+
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 70+
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Jonathan Taylor: 120+11.5%11.5%9¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Jonathan Taylor: 120+11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Jonathan Taylor: 120+
11.5%
11.5%
9¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Jonathan Taylor: 120+
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 120+
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Kyler Murray: 50+10.5%10.5%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Kyler Murray: 50+10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kyler Murray: 50+
10.5%
10.5%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kyler Murray: 50+
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 50+
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Daniel Jones: 20+10%10%3¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Daniel Jones: 20+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Daniel Jones: 20+
10%
10%
3¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Daniel Jones: 20+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones: 20+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 80+9%9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 80+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 80+
9%
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 80+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 80+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 100+7%7%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 100+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 100+
7%
7%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 100+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 100+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $21
Jonathan Taylor: 130+7%7%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Jonathan Taylor: 130+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jonathan Taylor: 130+
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jonathan Taylor: 130+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 130+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $11
Daniel Jones: 25+7%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Daniel Jones: 25+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Daniel Jones: 25+
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Daniel Jones: 25+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones: 25+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 90+6.5%6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 90+6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 90+
6.5%
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 90+
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 90+
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kyler Murray: 60+6.5%6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Kyler Murray: 60+6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kyler Murray: 60+
6.5%
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kyler Murray: 60+
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 60+
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kyler Murray: 70+6%6%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Kyler Murray: 70+6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kyler Murray: 70+
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kyler Murray: 70+
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray: 70+
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Jonathan Taylor: 140+5.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Jonathan Taylor: 140+5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jonathan Taylor: 140+
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jonathan Taylor: 140+
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 140+
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 120+5%5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 120+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 120+
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 120+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 120+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $19
Daniel Jones: 30+5%5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Daniel Jones: 30+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Daniel Jones: 30+
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Daniel Jones: 30+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones: 30+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Jonathan Taylor: 150+4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Jonathan Taylor: 150+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Jonathan Taylor: 150+
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Jonathan Taylor: 150+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Taylor: 150+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 110+3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Aaron Jones Sr.: 110+3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 110+
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Aaron Jones Sr.: 110+
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 110+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jonathan Taylor: 40+
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+
- Kyler Murray: 10+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Indianapolis vs Minnesota: Rushing Yards". Jonathan Taylor: 40+ leads at 84%. Next is Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+ at 80%. $1K has traded across 38 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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