The Prediction Markets

Indianapolis vs Minnesota: Spread

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$79K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points 68%

Next is Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points at 68%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$283
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$584
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
Indianapolis wins by over 1.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 2.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 16.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 4.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$282
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 5.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 20.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 6.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 7.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 9.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$700
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 13.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$505
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis wins by over 14.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
  • Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
  • Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Indianapolis vs Minnesota: Spread". Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points leads at 68%. Next is Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points at 68%. $79K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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