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What the markets expect
Over 21.5 points 96%
Next is Over 24.5 points at 92.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 21.5 points96%96%95¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 21.5 points96%Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 21.5 points
96%
96%
95¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 21.5 points
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $28
Over 24.5 points92.5%92.5%92¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 24.5 points92.5%Kalshi 92.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 24.5 points
92.5%
92.5%
92¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 24.5 points
92.5%
Kalshi 92.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Over 27.5 points88.5%88.5%88¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Over 27.5 points88.5%Kalshi 88.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 27.5 points
88.5%
88.5%
88¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 27.5 points
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 88.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Over 30.5 points83%83%82¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 1 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 30.5 points83%Kalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 30.5 points
83%
83%
82¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 30.5 points
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $1
Over 33.5 points75%75%75¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 1 min ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Over 33.5 points75%Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 33.5 points
75%
75%
75¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 33.5 points
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 33.5 points
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $187
Over 36.5 points67%67%66¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 1 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Over 36.5 points67%Kalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 36.5 points
67%
67%
66¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 36.5 points
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 36.5 points
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $34
Over 39.5 points57%57%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 1 min ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Over 39.5 points57%Kalshi 57%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 39.5 points
57%
57%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 39.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 39.5 points
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $100
Over 40.5 points53%53%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Over 40.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 40.5 points
53%
53%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 40.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 40.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $24
Over 41.5 points50%50%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Over 41.5 points50%Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 41.5 points
50%
50%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 41.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 41.5 points
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $4K
Over 42.5 points46%46%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Over 42.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 42.5 points
46%
46%
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 42.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 42.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Over 43.5 points43%43%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 1 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 43.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 43.5 points
43%
43%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 43.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 43.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $199
Over 44.5 points40.5%40.5%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 1 min ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Over 44.5 points40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 44.5 points
40.5%
40.5%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 44.5 points
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 44.5 points
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Over 45.5 points37.5%37.5%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 1 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 45.5 points37.5%Kalshi 37.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 45.5 points
37.5%
37.5%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 45.5 points
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 45.5 points
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Over 48.5 points29%29%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 48.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 48.5 points
29%
29%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 48.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 48.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Over 51.5 points21%21%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 51.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 51.5 points
21%
21%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 51.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 51.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $870
Over 54.5 points16.5%16.5%16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 54.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 54.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 54.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 54.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Over 57.5 points11.5%11.5%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 57.5 points11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 57.5 points
11.5%
11.5%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 57.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 57.5 points
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Over 60.5 points8.5%8.5%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Over 60.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 60.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 60.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 60.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 63.5 points5.5%5.5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Over 63.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Over 63.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Over 63.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 63.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 21.5 points
- Over 24.5 points
- Over 27.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Indianapolis vs Minnesota: Total Points". Over 21.5 points leads at 96%. Next is Over 24.5 points at 92.5%. $8K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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