The Prediction Markets

Inter Kashi vs East Bengal: Total Goals

Starts in 4 h 49 minKickoff
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Over 0.5 goals scored 96%

Next is O/U 0.5 at 95.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 0.5 goals scored
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 0.5
95.5%
Polymarket 95.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96.9¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC O/U 0.5
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC O/U 0.5
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 1.5 goals scored
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 1.5 goals scored
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 1.5
81%
Polymarket 81%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 0.5
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$352
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC O/U 1.5
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC O/U 1.5
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 45 more outcomes
Over 2.5 goals scored
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 2.5 goals scored
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Inter Kashi FC O/U 0.5
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC O/U 0.5
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC (-5.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC (-5.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC (-4.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC (-4.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC (-5.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC (-5.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC O/U 3.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC O/U 3.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC O/U 5.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC O/U 5.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC O/U 5.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC O/U 5.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC (-1.5)
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC (-1.5)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC O/U 4.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC O/U 4.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Both Teams to Score
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Both Teams to Score
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 4.5
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 4.5
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 8.5
43.8%
Polymarket 43.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 8.5
Last price
43.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 1.5
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC O/U 2.5
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC O/U 2.5
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 3.5 goals scored
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 3.5 goals scored
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 3.5
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 3.5
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC O/U 2.5
32.9%
Polymarket 32.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $157 (1.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC O/U 2.5
Last price
32.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63.8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$157 (1.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC O/U 1.5
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC O/U 1.5
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC (-2.5)
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC (-2.5)
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$149
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 7.5
23.7%
Polymarket 23.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $211 (2.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 7.5
Last price
23.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47.4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$211 (2.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC O/U 3.5
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC O/U 3.5
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 4.5 goals scored
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 4.5 goals scored
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 4.5
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 4.5
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Inter Kashi FC vs. East Bengal FC)
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Inter Kashi FC vs. East Bengal FC)
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$474
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 2.5
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Both Teams to Score in First Half
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Both Teams to Score in First Half
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC (-3.5)
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC (-3.5)
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 5.5 goals scored
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 5.5 goals scored
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Inter Kashi FC
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 5.5
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 5.5
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC (-4.5)
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC (-4.5)
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
East Bengal FC O/U 4.5
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
East Bengal FC O/U 4.5
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 3.5
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 6.5
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 6.5
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC (-1.5)
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC (-1.5)
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC (-2.5)
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC (-2.5)
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Kashi FC (-3.5)
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Kashi FC (-3.5)
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: indiansuperleague.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Over 0.5 goals scored
  • O/U 0.5
  • East Bengal FC O/U 0.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Inter Kashi vs East Bengal: Total Goals". Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 96%. Next is O/U 0.5 at 95.5%. $7K has traded across 55 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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