The Prediction Markets

Janvier vs Karthik

Starts in 1 h 8 minKickoff
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Janvier 90%

Next is Set Handicap: Maxime Janvier (-1.5) vs Pranav Karthik (+1.5) at 62.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Janvier
90%
Polymarket 90%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 90%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
M15 Singapore: Maxime Janvier vs Pranav Karthik
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Maxime Janvier
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 89¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 90¢.

Set Handicap: Maxime Janvier (-1.5) vs Pranav Karthik (+1.5)
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Maxime Janvier (-1.5) vs Pranav Karthik (+1.5)
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Set Handicap: Pranav Karthik (-1.5) vs Maxime Janvier (+1.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Pranav Karthik (-1.5) vs Maxime Janvier (+1.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pranav Karthik
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pranav Karthik
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 30, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: itftennis.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ITF, Flashscore, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 30, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Janvier
  • Set Handicap: Maxime Janvier (-1.5) vs Pranav Karthik (+1.5)
  • Set Handicap: Pranav Karthik (-1.5) vs Maxime Janvier (+1.5)

Live prices for Janvier

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Janvier vs Karthik". Janvier leads at 90%. Next is Set Handicap: Maxime Janvier (-1.5) vs Pranav Karthik (+1.5) at 62.5%. $2K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets