The Prediction Markets

Japan J. League: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$12K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

JEF United Chiba 75.5%

Next is Tokyo Verdy at 71.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
JEF United Chiba
75.5%
Polymarket 75.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
JEF United Chiba
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tokyo Verdy
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tokyo Verdy
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$790
Trade this on Polymarket
V-Varen Nagasaki
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
V-Varen Nagasaki
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gamba Osaka
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gamba Osaka
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$819
Trade this on Polymarket
Cerezo Osaka
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cerezo Osaka
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fagiano Okayama
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fagiano Okayama
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Polymarket
Kashima Antlers
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kashima Antlers
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kawasaki Frontale
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kawasaki Frontale
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyoto Sanga
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyoto Sanga
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Polymarket
Yokohama F. Marinos
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yokohama F. Marinos
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Mito HollyHock
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mito HollyHock
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nagoya Grampus
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nagoya Grampus
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Urawa Red Diamonds
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Urawa Red Diamonds
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Shimizu S-Pulse
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shimizu S-Pulse
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Avispa Fukuoka
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Avispa Fukuoka
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kashiwa Reysol
23.8%
Polymarket 23.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $215 (2.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kashiwa Reysol
Last price
23.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46.5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$215 (2.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
5.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Vissel Kobe
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vissel Kobe
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Machida Zelvia
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Machida Zelvia
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Tokyo
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Tokyo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • JEF United Chiba
  • Tokyo Verdy
  • V-Varen Nagasaki

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Japan J. League: Teams relegated (2026-27)". JEF United Chiba leads at 75.5%. Next is Tokyo Verdy at 71.5%. $12K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Japan J. League at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Japan J. League season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Japan J. League for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Japan J. League, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Japan J. League. If the 2026-27 Japan J. League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Japan J. League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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