The Prediction Markets

Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger

Starts in 53 minKickoff
Traded
$22K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5 74.5%

Next is Ashlyn Krueger at 59%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ashlyn Krueger
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashlyn Krueger
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Match O/U 21.5
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Match O/U 22.5
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 Winner
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 Winner
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
Gibson
41.8%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 42%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Talia Gibson
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 41¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 42¢.

Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Match O/U 23.5
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Ashlyn Krueger (-1.5) vs Talia Gibson (+1.5)
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$508
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Game Spread +/-0.5
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Talia Gibson (-1.5) vs Ashlyn Krueger (+1.5)
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: wtatennis.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: WTA
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Oct 30, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 6, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5
  • Ashlyn Krueger
  • Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger". Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5 leads at 74.5%. Next is Ashlyn Krueger at 59%. $22K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Ashlyn Krueger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Ashlyn Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn Krueger' if Ashlyn Krueger advances against Talia Gibson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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