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What the markets expect
Boston 39.7%
Next is Kansas City at 9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Boston39.7%44%39.6% fair39¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 21s ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Boston39.7%Kalshi 44%(39.6% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Boston
39.7%
44%
39.6% fair
39¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Boston
39.7%
Kalshi 44%(39.6% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 44%
- Fair, margin removed
- 39.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $14K
Kansas City9%10%9% fair10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 21s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Kansas City9%Kalshi 10%(9% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kansas City
9%
10%
9% fair
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kansas City
9%
Kalshi 10%(9% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas City
- Last price
- 10%
- Fair, margin removed
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $346
San Diego8.1%9%8.1% fair3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 21s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)San Diego8.1%Kalshi 9%(8.1% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
San Diego
8.1%
9%
8.1% fair
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
San Diego
8.1%
Kalshi 9%(8.1% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Diego
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $2K
Philadelphia7.2%8%7.2% fair1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 21s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Philadelphia7.2%Kalshi 8%(7.2% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Philadelphia
7.2%
8%
7.2% fair
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Philadelphia
7.2%
Kalshi 8%(7.2% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $210
Colorado4.5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 21s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Colorado4.5%Kalshi 5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Colorado
4.5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Colorado
4.5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colorado
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
A's3.6%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)A's3.6%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
A's
3.6%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
A's
3.6%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- A's
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $838
Detroit3.6%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Detroit3.6%Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Detroit
3.6%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Detroit
3.6%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $874
New York M2.7%3%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)New York M2.7%Kalshi 3%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
New York M
2.7%
3%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
New York M
2.7%
Kalshi 3%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $364
Chicago WS1.8%2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Chicago WS1.8%Kalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chicago WS
1.8%
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chicago WS
1.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago WS
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Arizona0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Arizona0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Arizona
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Arizona
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $831
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Atlanta0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Atlanta0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Atlanta
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Atlanta
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Baltimore0.9%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 21s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Baltimore0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Baltimore
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Baltimore
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Chicago C0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Chicago C0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago C
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago C
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago C
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cincinnati0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cincinnati0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cincinnati
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cincinnati
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $881
Cleveland0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cleveland0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $414
Houston0.9%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 21s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Houston0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Houston
0.9%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Houston
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Los Angeles A0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles A0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles A
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles A
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles A
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $785
Los Angeles D0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Los Angeles D0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Los Angeles D
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Los Angeles D
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles D
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $753
Miami0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Miami0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $765
Milwaukee0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Milwaukee0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Milwaukee
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Milwaukee
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $745
Minnesota0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Minnesota0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $765
New York Y0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York Y0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York Y
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York Y
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York Y
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $461
Pittsburgh0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pittsburgh0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pittsburgh
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pittsburgh
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Retires / No Team0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Retires / No Team0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Retires / No Team
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Retires / No Team
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Retires / No Team
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $295
San Francisco0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Francisco0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $295
Seattle0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Seattle0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Seattle
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Seattle
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $763
St. Louis0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)St. Louis0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
St. Louis
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
St. Louis
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- St. Louis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $295
Tampa Bay0.9%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tampa Bay0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tampa Bay
0.9%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tampa Bay
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa Bay
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $736
Texas0.9%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 21s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Texas0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Texas
0.9%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Texas
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Toronto0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Toronto0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Toronto
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Toronto
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $881
Washington0.9%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 21s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Washington0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
0.9%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Boston
- Kansas City
- San Diego
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Jarren Duran's Next Team". Boston leads at 39.7%. Next is Kansas City at 9%. $43K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 25, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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