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What the markets expect
Portland 2%
Next is Atlanta at 1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Portland2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 38s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Portland2%Kalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Portland
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Portland
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portland
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Atlanta1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Atlanta1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Brooklyn1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Brooklyn1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brooklyn
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brooklyn
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $826
Charlotte1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Charlotte1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlotte
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlotte
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlotte
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cleveland1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cleveland1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Detroit1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Detroit1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Detroit
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Detroit
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7
Golden State1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Golden State1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden State
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden State
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Houston1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Houston1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Indiana1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Indiana1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15
Los Angeles L1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles L1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles L
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles L
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles L
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $147
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
Memphis1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Memphis1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Memphis
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Memphis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7
Miami1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Miami1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $475
New Orleans1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New Orleans1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7
Oklahoma City1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oklahoma City1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oklahoma City
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oklahoma City
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $643
Orlando1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Orlando1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Orlando
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Orlando
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7
Phoenix1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Phoenix1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7
Sacramento1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sacramento1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sacramento
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sacramento
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacramento
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $107
San Antonio1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Antonio1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Antonio
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Antonio
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Toronto1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Toronto1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Toronto
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Toronto
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $41
Utah1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Utah1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Utah
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Utah
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $194
Washington1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Washington1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Washington
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Washington
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $288
Chicago0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chicago0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Portland
- Atlanta
- Brooklyn
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Jayson Tatum's Next Team". Portland leads at 2%. Next is Atlanta at 1%. $41K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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