The Prediction Markets

Joe Burrow's next team?

Closed
Sep 1, 2026
Traded
$93K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Sep 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Stays with Cincinnati or Retires from Pro Football
63.7%
Kalshi 95%(63.8% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stays with Cincinnati or Retires from Pro Football
Last price
95%
Fair, margin removed
63.8%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona
11.4%
Kalshi 17%(11.4% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona
Last price
17%
Fair, margin removed
11.4%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacksonville
2.7%
Kalshi 4%(2.7% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacksonville
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
1.3%
Kalshi 2%(1.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Philadelphia
1.3%
Kalshi 2%(1.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee
1.3%
Kalshi 2%(1.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Washington
1.3%
Kalshi 2%(1.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
2%
Fair, margin removed
1.3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Baltimore
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baltimore
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$381
Trade this on Kalshi
Buffalo
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Buffalo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Carolina
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carolina
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Dallas
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Detroit
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Kalshi
Green Bay
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Green Bay
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$441
Trade this on Kalshi
Kansas City
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas City
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles R
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles R
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
New England
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New England
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
New Orleans
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Kalshi
New York G
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New York G
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
New York J
0.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New York J
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh
0.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco
0.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle
0.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay
0.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Stays with Cincinnati or Retires from Pro Football
  • Arizona
  • Jacksonville

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
—
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—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Joe Burrow's next team?". Stays with Cincinnati or Retires from Pro Football last traded at 63.7%. Next is Arizona at 11.4%. $93K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Sep 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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