The Prediction Markets

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

Closed
Oct 16, 2026
Traded
$21K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 16, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 16 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $20M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 397 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $20M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $25M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 397 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $25M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $30M
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 397 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $30M
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $35M
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 397 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $35M
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $40M
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 397 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $40M
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $45M
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 397 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $45M
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $50M
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 397 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $50M
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FEC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $20M
  • Above $25M
  • Above $30M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)". Above $20M last traded at 99%. Next is Above $25M at 99%. $21K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 16, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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