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What the markets expect
Stays with Buffalo or Retires 72.1%
Next is Dallas at 1.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Stays with Buffalo or Retires72.1%98%72.1% fair93¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 42s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Stays with Buffalo or Retires72.1%Kalshi 98%(72.1% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Stays with Buffalo or Retires
72.1%
98%
72.1% fair
93¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Stays with Buffalo or Retires
72.1%
Kalshi 98%(72.1% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stays with Buffalo or Retires
- Last price
- 98%
- Fair, margin removed
- 72.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $13K
Dallas1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Dallas1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dallas
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dallas
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $113
Detroit1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Detroit1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Detroit
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Detroit
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1
Las Vegas1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Las Vegas1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Las Vegas
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Las Vegas
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Las Vegas
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1
Los Angeles C1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Los Angeles C1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Los Angeles C
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Los Angeles C
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $50
Minnesota1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Minnesota1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Minnesota
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Minnesota
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $30
New York G1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)New York G1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New York G
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New York G
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $17
Pittsburgh1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pittsburgh1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pittsburgh
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pittsburgh
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $0
Arizona0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Arizona0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Arizona
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Arizona
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Atlanta0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Atlanta0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Atlanta
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Atlanta
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
Baltimore0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Baltimore0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Baltimore
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Baltimore
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Carolina0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Carolina0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Carolina
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Carolina
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carolina
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Chicago0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chicago0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chicago
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chicago
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Cincinnati0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cincinnati0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cincinnati
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cincinnati
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Cleveland0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cleveland0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cleveland
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cleveland
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Denver0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Denver0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Denver
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Denver
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Green Bay0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Green Bay0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Green Bay
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Green Bay
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Green Bay
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Houston0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Houston0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Houston
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Houston
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Indianapolis0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Indianapolis0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Indianapolis
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Indianapolis
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indianapolis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Jacksonville0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jacksonville0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jacksonville
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jacksonville
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacksonville
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Kansas City0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Kansas City0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kansas City
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kansas City
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas City
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Los Angeles R0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Los Angeles R0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Los Angeles R
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Los Angeles R
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles R
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Miami0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Miami0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Miami
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Miami
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
New England0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)New England0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New England
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New England
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New England
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
New Orleans0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)New Orleans0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New Orleans
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New Orleans
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
New York J0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)New York J0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New York J
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New York J
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York J
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Philadelphia0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Philadelphia0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Philadelphia
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Philadelphia
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
San Francisco0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)San Francisco0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
San Francisco
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
San Francisco
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Seattle0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Seattle0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Seattle
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Seattle
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Tampa Bay0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tampa Bay0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tampa Bay
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tampa Bay
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa Bay
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Tennessee0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tennessee0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tennessee
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tennessee
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tennessee
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Washington0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Stays with Buffalo or Retires
- Dallas
- Detroit
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Josh Allen's Next Team". Stays with Buffalo or Retires leads at 72.1%. Next is Dallas at 1.5%. $13K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Sep 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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