The Prediction Markets

K-League: Teams relegated (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Gimcheon Sangmu 86.2%

Next is Gangwon FC at 85%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu
86.2%
Polymarket 86.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu
Last price
86.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.4¢
Sell Yes
73.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$253
Trade this on Polymarket
Gangwon FC
85%
Polymarket 85%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gwangju FC
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$239
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Anyang
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Anyang
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pohang Steelers
49.8%
Polymarket 49.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pohang Steelers
Last price
49.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen
24.1%
Polymarket 24.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen
Last price
24.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$239
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
16.2%
Polymarket 16.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 30.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $324 (3.24x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Last price
16.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$324 (3.24x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Incheon United
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Incheon United
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$544
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeju SK
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeju SK
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Seoul
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Seoul
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gangwon FC
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gangwon FC
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Polymarket
Ulsan HD
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ulsan HD
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Polymarket
Bucheon FC 1995
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bucheon FC 1995
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$804
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Gimcheon Sangmu
  • Gangwon FC
  • FC Anyang

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "K-League: Teams relegated (2026)". Gimcheon Sangmu leads at 86.2%. Next is Gangwon FC at 85%. $6K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from K-League at the conclusion of the 2026 K-League season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in K-League for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 K-League, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by K-League. If the 2026 K-League season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from K-League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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