The Prediction Markets

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

Closed
Apr 14, 2026
Traded
$2.1M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 199 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
NRFI
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4784 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
NRFI
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 199 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4784 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 199 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$813K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlb.com

How the odds have moved

The top 2 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • NRFI
  • Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians". NRFI last traded at 50%. Next is Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.1%. $2.1M has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 7, 2026.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for April 7 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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