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What the markets expect
Kenneth Walker III 17%
Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 12%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Kenneth Walker III17%17%16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 15s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Kenneth Walker III17%Kalshi 17%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kenneth Walker III
17%
17%
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kenneth Walker III
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenneth Walker III
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $1K
Jaxon Smith-Njigba12%12%11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 15s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Jaxon Smith-Njigba12%Kalshi 12%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $399
Emanuel Wilson11.5%11.5%9¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 15s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Emanuel Wilson11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Emanuel Wilson
11.5%
11.5%
9¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Emanuel Wilson
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emanuel Wilson
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Travis Kelce7%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 15s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Travis Kelce7%Kalshi 7%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Travis Kelce
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Travis Kelce
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Travis Kelce
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $134
Xavier Worthy7%7%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 15s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Xavier Worthy7%Kalshi 7%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Xavier Worthy
7%
7%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Xavier Worthy
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Xavier Worthy
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
AJ Barner6%6%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 15s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)AJ Barner6%Kalshi 6%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
AJ Barner
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
AJ Barner
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Barner
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $78
Cooper Kupp5%5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 15s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Cooper Kupp5%Kalshi 5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cooper Kupp
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cooper Kupp
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cooper Kupp
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $19
Rashid Shaheed4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 15s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Rashid Shaheed4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Rashid Shaheed
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Rashid Shaheed
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rashid Shaheed
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Patrick Mahomes4%4%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 15s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Patrick Mahomes4%Kalshi 4%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Mahomes
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Patrick Mahomes
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Mahomes
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $305
Cyrus Allen3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 15s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Cyrus Allen3%Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cyrus Allen
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cyrus Allen
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cyrus Allen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $156
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Jalen Royals3%3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 15s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jalen Royals3%Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jalen Royals
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jalen Royals
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Royals
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
George Holani2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 15s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)George Holani2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
George Holani
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
George Holani
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Holani
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
KC Chiefs D/ST2.5%2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 15s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)KC Chiefs D/ST2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
KC Chiefs D/ST
2.5%
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
KC Chiefs D/ST
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- KC Chiefs D/ST
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
SEA Seahawks D/ST2.5%2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 15s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)SEA Seahawks D/ST2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SEA Seahawks D/ST
2.5%
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SEA Seahawks D/ST
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SEA Seahawks D/ST
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Noah Gray2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 15s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Noah Gray2%Kalshi 2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Noah Gray
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Noah Gray
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Gray
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Emmett Johnson1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 15s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Emmett Johnson1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Emmett Johnson
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Emmett Johnson
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emmett Johnson
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Sam Darnold1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 15s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Sam Darnold1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Sam Darnold
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Sam Darnold
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Darnold
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Tory Horton1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 15s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tory Horton1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tory Horton
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tory Horton
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tory Horton
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Brashard Smith1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 15s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Brashard Smith1%Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Brashard Smith
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Brashard Smith
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brashard Smith
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Eric Saubert1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 15s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Eric Saubert1%Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Eric Saubert
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Eric Saubert
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eric Saubert
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Jake Briningstool1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 15s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jake Briningstool1%Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jake Briningstool
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jake Briningstool
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jake Briningstool
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Jared Wiley1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 15s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jared Wiley1%Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jared Wiley
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jared Wiley
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jared Wiley
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Nikko Remigio1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 15s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nikko Remigio1%Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nikko Remigio
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nikko Remigio
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikko Remigio
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
No Touchdown1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 15s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)No Touchdown1%Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
No Touchdown
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
No Touchdown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Touchdown
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $567
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the league governing the game
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kenneth Walker III
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Emanuel Wilson
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Kansas City vs Seattle: 1st Touchdown". Kenneth Walker III leads at 17%. Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 12%. $3K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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