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Trading ended on Sep 15, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Patrick Mahomes70%70%53¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Patrick Mahomes70%Kalshi 70%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Patrick Mahomes
70%
70%
53¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Patrick Mahomes
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Mahomes
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $11K
Anthony Richardson49%49%— bid, 98¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Anthony Richardson49%Kalshi 49%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Anthony Richardson
49%
49%
— bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Anthony Richardson
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Richardson
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Ty Simpson49%49%— bid, 98¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Ty Simpson49%Kalshi 49%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Ty Simpson
49%
49%
— bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Ty Simpson
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Simpson
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kirk Cousins48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Kirk Cousins48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kirk Cousins
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kirk Cousins
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kirk Cousins
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Jimmy Garoppolo48%48%— bid, 96¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Jimmy Garoppolo48%Kalshi 48%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Jimmy Garoppolo
48%
48%
— bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Jimmy Garoppolo
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jimmy Garoppolo
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Mac Jones48%48%— bid, 96¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Mac Jones48%Kalshi 48%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Mac Jones
48%
48%
— bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Mac Jones
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mac Jones
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Tanner McKee48%48%— bid, 96¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Tanner McKee48%Kalshi 48%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Tanner McKee
48%
48%
— bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Tanner McKee
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tanner McKee
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Mitchell Trubisky47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Mitchell Trubisky47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Mitchell Trubisky
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Mitchell Trubisky
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mitchell Trubisky
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Chris Oladokun47%47%— bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Chris Oladokun47%Kalshi 47%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Chris Oladokun
47%
47%
— bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Chris Oladokun
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Oladokun
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Gardner Minshew46.5%46.5%— bid, 93¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Gardner Minshew46.5%Kalshi 46.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Gardner Minshew
46.5%
46.5%
— bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Gardner Minshew
46.5%
Kalshi 46.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gardner Minshew
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Joe Flacco46%46%— bid, 92¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Joe Flacco46%Kalshi 46%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Joe Flacco
46%
46%
— bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Joe Flacco
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Flacco
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Justin Fields39%39%11¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Justin Fields39%Kalshi 39%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Justin Fields
39%
39%
11¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Justin Fields
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Fields
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $8K
Tyrod Taylor25%25%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Tyrod Taylor25%Kalshi 25%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Tyrod Taylor
25%
25%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Tyrod Taylor
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrod Taylor
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Jacoby Brissett3%3%— bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Jacoby Brissett3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Jacoby Brissett
3%
3%
— bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Jacoby Brissett
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacoby Brissett
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $279
Garrett Nussmeier1%1%— bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Garrett Nussmeier1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Garrett Nussmeier
1%
1%
— bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Garrett Nussmeier
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Nussmeier
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $135
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, the Associated Press
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Patrick Mahomes
- Anthony Richardson
- Ty Simpson
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Kansas City Week 1 Starting Quarterback?". Patrick Mahomes last traded at 70%. Next is Anthony Richardson at 49%. $19K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Sep 15, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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