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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Masterson, 2+ pts 67%
Next is Masterson, 5+ pts at 47%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Masterson, 2+ pts67%Not listed67%64¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, just now69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Masterson, 2+ pts67%Kalshi 67%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Masterson, 2+ pts
67%
Not listed
67%
64¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, just now
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Masterson, 2+ pts
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masterson, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $588
Masterson, 5+ pts47%Not listed47%47¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, just now53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Masterson, 5+ pts47%Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Masterson, 5+ pts
47%
Not listed
47%
47¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, just now
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Masterson, 5+ pts
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masterson, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Masterson, 8+ pts35%Not listed35%29¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, just now36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Masterson, 8+ pts35%Kalshi 35%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Masterson, 8+ pts
35%
Not listed
35%
29¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, just now
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Masterson, 8+ pts
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masterson, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $2K
Holscher, 1+ pts21%Not listed21%17¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Holscher, 1+ pts21%Kalshi 21%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Holscher, 1+ pts
21%
Not listed
21%
17¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Holscher, 1+ pts
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Holscher, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
Masterson 0-3%19%19%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Masterson 0-3%19%Polymarket 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Masterson 0-3%
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Masterson 0-3%
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Masterson 0-3%
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $3K
Masterson 9-12%16.3%16.3%16.2¢ bid, 16.3¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed16.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $613 (6.13x)Masterson 9-12%16.3%Polymarket 16.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Masterson 9-12%
16.3%
16.3%
16.2¢ bid, 16.3¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
16.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Masterson 9-12%
16.3%
Polymarket 16.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Masterson 9-12%
- Last price
- 16.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 16.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $613 (6.13x)
- Volume
- $1K
Masterson, 11+ pts16%Not listed16%16¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Masterson, 11+ pts16%Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Masterson, 11+ pts
16%
Not listed
16%
16¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Masterson, 11+ pts
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masterson, 11+ pts
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $1K
Masterson 3-6%15.7%15.7%15.1¢ bid, 16.3¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed16.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $613 (6.13x)Masterson 3-6%15.7%Polymarket 15.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Masterson 3-6%
15.7%
15.7%
15.1¢ bid, 16.3¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
16.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Masterson 3-6%
15.7%
Polymarket 15.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $613 (6.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Masterson 3-6%
- Last price
- 15.7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 15.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $613 (6.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
Masterson 6-9%14.5%14.5%14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Masterson 6-9%14.5%Polymarket 14.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Masterson 6-9%
14.5%
14.5%
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Masterson 6-9%
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Masterson 6-9%
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $2K
Masterson, 14+ pts12%Not listed12%6¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, just now13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Masterson, 14+ pts12%Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Masterson, 14+ pts
12%
Not listed
12%
6¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, just now
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Masterson, 14+ pts
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masterson, 14+ pts
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $53
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Holscher 0-3%11.5%11.5%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Holscher 0-3%11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Holscher 0-3%
11.5%
11.5%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Holscher 0-3%
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Holscher 0-3%
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Holscher, 4+ pts10%Not listed10%7.1¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Holscher, 4+ pts10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Holscher, 4+ pts
10%
Not listed
10%
7.1¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Holscher, 4+ pts
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Holscher, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $124
Holscher 3-6%9.5%9.5%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Holscher 3-6%9.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Holscher 3-6%
9.5%
9.5%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Holscher 3-6%
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Holscher 3-6%
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $775
Masterson 18%+6.1%6.1%5.8¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Masterson 18%+6.1%Polymarket 6.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Masterson 18%+
6.1%
6.1%
5.8¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Masterson 18%+
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Masterson 18%+
- Last price
- 6.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $595
Masterson, 17+ pts5%Not listed5%0.1¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, just now9.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Masterson, 17+ pts5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Masterson, 17+ pts
5%
Not listed
5%
0.1¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, just now
9.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Masterson, 17+ pts
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masterson, 17+ pts
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
Masterson, 20+ pts5%Not listed5%2.8¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Masterson, 20+ pts5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Masterson, 20+ pts
5%
Not listed
5%
2.8¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Masterson, 20+ pts
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Masterson, 20+ pts
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $6
Masterson 15-18%4.6%4.6%2.6¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Masterson 15-18%4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Masterson 15-18%
4.6%
4.6%
2.6¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Masterson 15-18%
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Masterson 15-18%
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $534
Masterson 12-15%3.3%3.3%0.4¢ bid, 6.1¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed6.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)Masterson 12-15%3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Masterson 12-15%
3.3%
3.3%
0.4¢ bid, 6.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
6.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Masterson 12-15%
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Masterson 12-15%
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,639 (16.4x)
- Volume
- $371
Holscher 6%+2%2%0.5¢ bid, 3.4¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed3.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)Holscher 6%+2%Polymarket 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Holscher 6%+
2%
2%
0.5¢ bid, 3.4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
3.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Holscher 6%+
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Holscher 6%+
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,941 (29.4x)
- Volume
- $515
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kansas Secretary of State
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Masterson, 2+ pts
- Masterson, 5+ pts
- Masterson, 8+ pts
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Masterson, 2+ pts for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Kansas Governor margin of victory". Masterson, 2+ pts leads at 67%. Next is Masterson, 5+ pts at 47%. $21K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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