The Prediction Markets

Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

Closed
Apr 4, 2026
Traded
$69K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 4, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 202 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
150k-175k
99.7%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4859 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
150k-175k
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
150k
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4859 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
150k
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Polymarket
175k-200k
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4859 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
175k-200k
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
200k-225k
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4859 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
200k-225k
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
225k-250k
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4859 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
225k-250k
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
250k-275k
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4859 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
250k-275k
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
275k-300k
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4859 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
275k-300k
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
300k+
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4859 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
300k+
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 150k-175k
  • 150k
  • 175k-200k

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)". 150k-175k last traded at 99.7%. Next is 150k at 0.1%. $69K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 4, 2026.

Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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