The Prediction Markets

Kanye West Streams in 2026

Closes
Jan 2, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$16K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 10.25B 99%

Next is Above 10B at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 10.25B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.25B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
20¢
Volume
$675
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
20¢
Volume
$242
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 9.75B
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9.75B
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
20¢
Volume
$880
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10.5B
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.5B
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
20¢
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10.75B
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.75B
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11B
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11B
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$797
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.25B
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.25B
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.5B
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.5B
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.5B
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.5B
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.75B
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.75B
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Above 13.0B
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.0B
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.75B
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.75B
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$751
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.0B
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.0B
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$753
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.25B
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.25B
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Volume
$422
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 10.25B
  • Above 10B
  • Above 9.75B

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Kanye West Streams in 2026". Above 10.25B leads at 99%. Next is Above 10B at 99%. $16K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets