The Prediction Markets

Karsiyaka vs. Fenerbahce

Starts in 14 hKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Fenerbahce (-8.5) 53.5%

Next is O/U 163.5 at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Fenerbahce (-8.5)
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahce (-8.5)
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 163.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 163.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Karsiyaka vs. Fenerbahce
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karsiyaka vs. Fenerbahce
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: tbl.org.tr

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Fenerbahce (-8.5)
  • O/U 163.5
  • Karsiyaka vs. Fenerbahce

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Karsiyaka vs. Fenerbahce". Fenerbahce (-8.5) leads at 53.5%. Next is O/U 163.5 at 50%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for October 25 at 8:30AM ET: If the Karsiyaka win, the market will resolve to "Karsiyaka". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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