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What the markets expect
FC Kaisar 69%
Next is FC Irtysh Pavlodar at 55.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
FC Kaisar69%69%52¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 1 min ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)FC Kaisar69%Polymarket 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
FC Kaisar
69%
69%
52¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
FC Kaisar
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Kaisar
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $3K
FC Irtysh Pavlodar55.2%55.2%43.6¢ bid, 66.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago66.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $150 (1.50x)FC Irtysh Pavlodar55.2%Polymarket 55.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $150 (1.50x)
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
55.2%
55.2%
43.6¢ bid, 66.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
66.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $150 (1.50x)
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
55.2%
Polymarket 55.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $150 (1.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Irtysh Pavlodar
- Last price
- 55.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 43.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $150 (1.50x)
- Volume
- $3K
FC Zhetysu43%43%35¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)FC Zhetysu43%Polymarket 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
FC Zhetysu
43%
43%
35¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
FC Zhetysu
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Zhetysu
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
FC Altai27.5%27.5%20¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 1 min ago35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)FC Altai27.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
FC Altai
27.5%
27.5%
20¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
FC Altai
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Altai
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $2K
FC Atyrau16%16%10¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min ago22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)FC Atyrau16%Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
FC Atyrau
16%
16%
10¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
FC Atyrau
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Atyrau
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $370
FC Okzhetpes7.5%7.5%5.8¢ bid, 9.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)FC Okzhetpes7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
FC Okzhetpes
7.5%
7.5%
5.8¢ bid, 9.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
FC Okzhetpes
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Okzhetpes
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,087 (10.9x)
- Volume
- $96
FC Kyzylzhar5.5%5.5%4.5¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)FC Kyzylzhar5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
FC Kyzylzhar
5.5%
5.5%
4.5¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
FC Kyzylzhar
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Kyzylzhar
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $2K
FC KaisarPolymarket: “FC Kairat”4.6%4.6%1.1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)FC Kaisar4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
FC Kaisar
Polymarket: “FC Kairat”
4.6%
4.6%
1.1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
FC Kaisar
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Kairat
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $853
FC AstanaPolymarket: “FC Zhenis Astana”3.5%3.5%0.1¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)FC Astana3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
FC Astana
Polymarket: “FC Zhenis Astana”
3.5%
3.5%
0.1¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
FC Astana
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Zhenis Astana
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $175
FC Astana3.2%3.2%0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)FC Astana3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
FC Astana
3.2%
3.2%
0.2¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
FC Astana
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Astana
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $873
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Yelimay Semey2.9%2.9%0.2¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Yelimay Semey2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Yelimay Semey
2.9%
2.9%
0.2¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Yelimay Semey
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yelimay Semey
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $150
FC Ulytau2.6%2.6%0.2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)FC Ulytau2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
FC Ulytau
2.6%
2.6%
0.2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
FC Ulytau
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Ulytau
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $181
FC Aktobe1.5%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)FC Aktobe1.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
FC Aktobe
1.5%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
FC Aktobe
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Aktobe
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
FC Caspiy0.7%0.7%0.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)FC Caspiy0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
FC Caspiy
0.7%
0.7%
0.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
FC Caspiy
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Caspiy
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $361
FC Ordabasy0.6%0.6%— bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)FC Ordabasy0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
FC Ordabasy
0.6%
0.6%
— bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
FC Ordabasy
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Ordabasy
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $454
FC Tobol0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)FC Tobol0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
FC Tobol
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
FC Tobol
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Tobol
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $270
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- FC Kaisar
- FC Irtysh Pavlodar
- FC Zhetysu
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Kazakhstan Premier League: Teams relegated (2026)". FC Kaisar leads at 69%. Next is FC Irtysh Pavlodar at 55.2%. $19K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Kazakhstan Premier League at the conclusion of the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Kazakhstan Premier League for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Kazakhstan Premier League. If the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Kazakhstan Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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