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ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above 295.0M 99%
Next is Above 300.0M at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 295.0M99%99%92¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 295.0M99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 295.0M
99%
99%
92¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 295.0M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 295.0M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- Volume
- $882
Above 300.0M99%99%92¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 300.0M99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Above 300.0M
99%
99%
92¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 300.0M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 300.0M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- Volume
- $1K
Above 335.0M98%98%90¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 335.0M98%Kalshi 98%polled, just now
Above 335.0M
98%
98%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 335.0M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 335.0M
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- Volume
- $7
Above 305.0M97%97%92¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 305.0M97%Kalshi 97%polled, just now
Above 305.0M
97%
97%
92¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 305.0M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 305.0M
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- Volume
- $104
Above 315.0M97%97%92¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 315.0M97%Kalshi 97%polled, just now
Above 315.0M
97%
97%
92¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 315.0M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 315.0M
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- Volume
- $210
Above 355.0M97%97%83¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 355.0M97%Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 355.0M
97%
97%
83¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 355.0M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 355.0M
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $1
Above 320.0M96%96%91¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 320.0M96%Kalshi 96%polled, just now
Above 320.0M
96%
96%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 320.0M
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 320.0M
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- Volume
- $113
Above 310.0M95%95%92¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 310.0M95%Kalshi 95%polled, just now
Above 310.0M
95%
95%
92¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 310.0M
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 310.0M
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- Volume
- $171
Above 325.0M93%93%91¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 325.0M93%Kalshi 93%polled, just now
Above 325.0M
93%
93%
91¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 325.0M
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 325.0M
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- Volume
- $5
Above 330.0M90%90%90¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 330.0M90%Kalshi 90%polled, just now
Above 330.0M
90%
90%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 330.0M
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 330.0M
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- Volume
- $6
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Above 340.0M89%89%89¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 340.0M89%Kalshi 89%polled, just now
Above 340.0M
89%
89%
89¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 340.0M
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 340.0M
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- Volume
- $3
Above 345.0M88%88%88¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askAbove 345.0M88%Kalshi 88%polled, just now
Above 345.0M
88%
88%
88¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Above 345.0M
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 345.0M
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- Volume
- $2
Above 360.0M87%87%79¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, just now95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 360.0M87%Kalshi 87%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 360.0M
87%
87%
79¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, just now
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 360.0M
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 360.0M
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 350.0M86%86%86¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, just now98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above 350.0M86%Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 350.0M
86%
86%
86¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, just now
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 350.0M
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 350.0M
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $2
Above 365.0M82%82%74¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, just now90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Above 365.0M82%Kalshi 82%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above 365.0M
82%
82%
74¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, just now
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above 365.0M
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 365.0M
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 295.0M
- Above 300.0M
- Above 335.0M
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "KETTAMA Streams in 2026". Above 295.0M leads at 99%. Next is Above 300.0M at 99%. $18K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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