The Prediction Markets

Klarna Credit Card Spend in October 2026

Closes
Nov 5, 2026, in 12 days
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 60 88%

Next is Above 80 at 88%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 60
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$529
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 110
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 110
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 170
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 170
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$488
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 160
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 160
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$611
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 125
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 125
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 130
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 130
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$440
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
Above 180
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 180
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 190
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 190
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 200
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 200
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 120
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 120
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 105
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 105
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$286
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 150
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 150
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 140
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 140
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$505
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 115
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 115
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Carbon Arc

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 60
  • Above 80
  • Above 90

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Klarna Credit Card Spend in October 2026". Above 60 leads at 88%. Next is Above 80 at 88%. $5K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 5, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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