The Prediction Markets

Korea KBO Champion

Closes
Dec 15, 2026, in 53 days
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

KT Wiz 64.9%

Next is Samsung Lions at 24.7%. The venues differ most on Kia Tigers (Polymarket 18.2%, Kalshi 1%), a 17-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
KT Wiz
64.9%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 7 min agoKalshi 72%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
KT Wiz
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
KT Wiz
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 7 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 62¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 72¢.

Samsung Lions
24.7%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 7 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Samsung Lions
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Samsung Lions
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 7 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 19¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 23¢.

Doosan Bears
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Doosan Bears
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Kalshi
Kia Tigers
13.9%
Polymarket 18.2%polled, 7 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kia Tigers
Last price
18.2%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
18.8¢
Sell Yes
17.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$532 (5.32x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kia Tigers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 7 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 18.8¢.

LG Twins
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
LG Twins
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
NC Dinos
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC Dinos
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Hanwha Eagles
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hanwha Eagles
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$865
Trade this on Kalshi
Lotte Giants
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lotte Giants
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
SSG Landers
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
SSG Landers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi
Kiwoom Heroes
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kiwoom Heroes
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 1, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 15, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: koreabaseball.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, KBO
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 1, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 15, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • KT Wiz
  • Samsung Lions
  • Doosan Bears

Live prices for KT Wiz

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Korea KBO Champion". KT Wiz leads at 64.9%. Next is Samsung Lions at 24.7%. $23K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 15, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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